Sha Tin · 2022-06-25 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BUNDLE OF CHARM, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 4-3/4, with SCIENCE PATCH second and YOUNG HORIZON third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM 1.09.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 2.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SCIENCE PATCH B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | YOUNG HORIZON SB C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 11 | 50.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SOARING TOWER P- C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | BRAVE DREAMS H/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 8 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | CHARMING STEED TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 2 | 15.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GLORIFIED FIRE A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 3 | 17.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | HEARTY WISH SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 13.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HAPPY TANGO B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 13.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | UNTOLD RICHES H K H Chan · K H Ting | K H Chan | K H Ting | 5 | 6.1 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 156.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | HAPPY FOREVER XB/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 10 | 15.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | FORTUNE TURBO B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 13 | 188.0 | 16-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 34.5% | 2.90 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | UNTOLD RICHES | 10.3% | 9.75 | 10 |
| 3 | 4 | CHARMING STEED | 9.8% | 10.25 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | HAPPY FOREVER | 8.7% | 11.50 | 12 |
| 5 | 1 | SCIENCE PATCH | 8.6% | 11.69 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | GLORIFIED FIRE | 5.7% | 17.69 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | BRAVE DREAMS | 5.3% | 18.92 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | HAPPY TANGO | 4.8% | 20.80 | 9 |
| 9 | 13 | HEARTY WISH | 4.2% | 24.00 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | SOARING TOWER | 3.7% | 27.09 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | YOUNG HORIZON | 3.0% | 33.30 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 1.1% | 93.18 | 11 |
| 13 | 7 | FORTUNE TURBO | 0.6% | 169.91 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 21.5
PLACE
1 29
3 13.5
9 101
QUINELLA
1,3 123.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 51.5
1,9 559.5
3,9 156
FORECAST
3,1 191
TIERCE
3,1,9 3,332
TRIO
1,3,9 1,364
FIRST 4
1,3,6,9 4,026
QUARTET
3,1,9,6 41,483
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
13/1 148
13/3 216.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16
A2 —