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Sha Tin · 2022-06-25 · 17:48

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course B 14 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-25 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VOYAGE BUBBLE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with MALDIVES second and GALLANT CROWN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite READY TO WIN finished 8th.

Result

Official · 1.21.78
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly 1.21.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · P F Yiu 13 5.5 1-1/4
2 1 MALDIVES Closed strongly XB B Shinn · D J Hall 4 5.7 1-1/4
3 8 GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · A T Millard 2 51.0 2-1/4
4 12 RED TITAN Closed strongly E-/H1/TT A Badel · J Size 14 9.8 3
5 9 FAULDS Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · C H Yip 7 6.6 3-3/4
6 4 PRIVATE ROCKET B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 1 6.8 3-3/4
7 5 TEMPEST EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT A Hamelin · J Size 5 25.0 4-1/2
8 6 READY TO WIN Closed strongly CP/XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 8 5.2 5-1/4
9 3 RUNNING AHEAD B1 K C Leung · T P Yung 3 22.0 6
10 14 COMMANDING MISSILE Closed strongly B/H1 L Ferraris · K W Lui 11 172.0 7
11 10 KINDA COOL B/TT1 C Y Ho · A S Cruz 6 26.0 7-1/4
12 13 COMING PATCH Closed strongly B-/H/V1 C L Chau · K H Ting 10 106.0 9-1/2
13 2 IGNITING B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui 9 15.0 10-1/4
14 7 EIGHT TRIGRAMS Led early B/TT H T Mo · D J Hall 12 21.0 10-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VOYAGE BUBBLE—2. MALDIVES+1.25L3. GALLANT CROWN+2.25L4. RED TITAN+3L5. FAULDS+3.75L6. PRIVATE ROCKET+3.75L7. TEMPEST EXPRESS+4.5L8. READY TO WIN+5.25L9. RUNNING AHEAD+6L10. COMMANDING MISSILE+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick VOYAGE BUBBLE (22.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 VOYAGE BUBBLE 22.3% 4.49 1
2 6 READY TO WIN 16.1% 6.21 8
3 4 PRIVATE ROCKET 12.6% 7.94 6
4 9 FAULDS 9.7% 10.26 5
5 1 MALDIVES 7.5% 13.35 2
6 12 RED TITAN 6.7% 14.83 4
7 7 EIGHT TRIGRAMS 6.4% 15.72 14
8 3 RUNNING AHEAD 4.5% 22.31 9
9 2 IGNITING 4.1% 24.42 13
10 10 KINDA COOL 3.9% 25.72 11
11 5 TEMPEST EXPRESS 2.3% 43.95 7
12 8 GALLANT CROWN 1.9% 52.68 3
13 13 COMING PATCH 1.4% 69.66 12
14 14 COMMANDING MISSILE 0.6% 164.84 10
VOYAGE BUBBLE — wonREADY TO WINPRIVATE ROCKETFAULDSMALDIVESRED TITANEIGHT TRIGRAMSRUNNING AHEADIGNITINGKINDA COOLTEMPEST EXPRESSGALLANT CROWNCOMING PATCHCOMMANDING MISSILE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 55.5

PLACE

1 19.5

8 116

11 23.5

QUINELLA

1,11 218.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,8 408.5

1,11 80

8,11 561

FORECAST

11,1 414

TIERCE

11,1,8 12,090

TRIO

1,8,11 2,885

FIRST 4

1,8,11,12 8,910

QUARTET

11,1,8,12 126,813

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 22

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,8,11/1,8,11 821,057

9TH DOUBLE

3/1 181

3/11 1,233

SIX UP

8,14/3,8/1,2/1,4/3,11/1,11 238,846

1 [Z Purton] —

TREBLE

4/3/1 951

4/3/11 6,225

← Race 9 This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99