Sha Tin · 2022-06-25 · 13:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-25 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN MISSION, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C W Chang, won by 3/4, with MOON PEAKS second and STAR OF RED third. The 4.6 favourite IRON KING finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | GOLDEN MISSION B/TT2 1.09.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 7 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | MOON PEAKS H-/B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 6 | 8.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | STAR OF RED B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 8 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 5 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 1 | 5.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | IRON KING TT2 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 4.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | ALLOY KING CP A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 3 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 13 | 61.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | SUPER FLAMES V1/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 41.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | TUNG HAYE HAYE B/XB/TT C Wong · C S Shum | C Wong | C S Shum | 11 | 111.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 12 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | WHISKEY NEAT TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 10 | 12.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | WITTY SCHOLAR B1 C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 9 | 24.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 5 | SALUTATION SR/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 14 | 8.2 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SUNNY BABY B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING | 21.4% | 4.68 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | SALUTATION | 14.9% | 6.70 | 14 |
| 3 | 2 | IRON KING | 9.1% | 11.02 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | MELBOURNE HALL | 8.2% | 12.20 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | ALLOY KING | 7.8% | 12.81 | 7 |
| 6 | 13 | GOLDEN MISSION | 6.2% | 16.13 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | STAR OF RED | 6.1% | 16.41 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 6.0% | 16.64 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | WHISKEY NEAT | 5.9% | 17.05 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | WITTY SCHOLAR | 3.5% | 28.27 | 13 |
| 11 | 4 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 3.4% | 29.05 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | MOON PEAKS | 3.3% | 30.46 | 2 |
| 13 | 14 | SUPER FLAMES | 2.8% | 35.54 | 9 |
| 14 | 8 | TUNG HAYE HAYE | 1.4% | 72.84 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 77.5
PLACE
10 26
11 58
13 29
QUINELLA
10,13 240.5
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 255
10,13 85.5
11,13 284
FORECAST
13,10 559
TIERCE
13,10,11 8,514
TRIO
10,11,13 2,073
FIRST 4
10,11,12,13 8,224
QUARTET
13,10,11,12 137,728
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 24.5
A1 —