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Sha Tin · 2022-06-25 · 16:06

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 2000m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 2.01.56
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUPERBELLA Closed strongly B/TT 2.01.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor 1 6.7 HD
2 0 COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 5 3.2 HD
3 0 INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B R Maia · A T Millard 3 4.7 2-3/4
4 0 HIT THE SHOT Closed strongly TT A Badel · J Size 12 17.0 3-1/4
5 0 ODE TO JOY Led early B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 11 51.0 3-1/2
6 0 ROBOT WARRIOR B A Hamelin · P F Yiu 4 7.3 3-3/4
7 0 ENZEMBLE H/TT C L Chau · K L Man 8 15.0 4-1/2
8 0 KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly B Shinn · D A Hayes 7 11.0 5
9 0 ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · W Y So 6 39.0 5
10 0 PEGASUS GENERAL CP-/V1 H Bentley · K H Ting 10 36.0 5-1/4
11 0 NATURAL STORM V M Chadwick · P F Yiu 2 9.8 7-3/4
12 0 CLASSIC ARCHI B/TT1 K Teetan · D J Whyte 9 58.0 14
— 0 TOTAL POWER K H Chan · D J Hall — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-25 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPERBELLA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by HD, with COPARTNER ELITES second and INTREPID WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite COPARTNER ELITES finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPERBELLA—2. COPARTNER ELITES+0.2L3. INTREPID WINNER+2.75L4. HIT THE SHOT+3.25L5. ODE TO JOY+3.5L6. ROBOT WARRIOR+3.75L7. ENZEMBLE+4.5L8. KING'S CAPITAL+5L9. ENTRUSTED+5L10. PEGASUS GENERAL+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SUPERBELLA (23.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUPERBELLA 23.2% 4.32 1
2 0 NATURAL STORM 20.6% 4.86 11
3 0 INTREPID WINNER 13.2% 7.58 3
4 0 COPARTNER ELITES 10.9% 9.14 2
5 0 ROBOT WARRIOR 9.8% 10.19 6
6 0 KING'S CAPITAL 6.5% 15.35 8
7 0 ENZEMBLE 5.1% 19.50 7
8 0 ENTRUSTED 4.2% 23.84 9
9 0 CLASSIC ARCHI 2.5% 39.27 12
10 0 HIT THE SHOT 1.7% 59.42 4
11 0 PEGASUS GENERAL 1.4% 70.43 10
12 0 ODE TO JOY 0.8% 122.39 5
SUPERBELLA — wonNATURAL STORMINTREPID WINNERCOPARTNER ELITESROBOT WARRIORKING'S CAPITALENZEMBLEENTRUSTEDCLASSIC ARCHIHIT THE SHOTPEGASUS GENERALODE TO JOY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 67

PLACE

1 15

2 22.5

5 16

QUINELLA

1,2 135.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 54

1,5 32

2,5 69

FORECAST

2,1 358

TIERCE

2,1,5 994

TRIO

1,2,5 175

FIRST 4

1,2,5,7 790

QUARTET

2,1,5,7 20,951

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,8/1,2,5 96,287

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 31.5

A3 —

6TH DOUBLE

8/1 99.5

8/2 1,109