Sha Tin · 2022-06-25 · 16:06
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-25 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPERBELLA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by HD, with COPARTNER ELITES second and INTREPID WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite COPARTNER ELITES finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPERBELLA Closed strongly B/TT 2.01.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 6.7 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 3.2 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 3 | 4.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | HIT THE SHOT Closed strongly TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | ODE TO JOY Led early B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 51.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | ROBOT WARRIOR B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | ENZEMBLE H/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 8 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 7 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 6 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | PEGASUS GENERAL CP-/V1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 36.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | NATURAL STORM V M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 2 | 9.8 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | CLASSIC ARCHI B/TT1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 58.0 | 14 |
| — | 9 | TOTAL POWER K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPERBELLA | 23.2% | 4.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | NATURAL STORM | 20.6% | 4.86 | 11 |
| 3 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER | 13.2% | 7.58 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | COPARTNER ELITES | 10.9% | 9.14 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 9.8% | 10.19 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | KING'S CAPITAL | 6.5% | 15.35 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | ENZEMBLE | 5.1% | 19.50 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | ENTRUSTED | 4.2% | 23.84 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 2.5% | 39.27 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | HIT THE SHOT | 1.7% | 59.42 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 1.4% | 70.43 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | ODE TO JOY | 0.8% | 122.39 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 67
PLACE
1 15
2 22.5
5 16
QUINELLA
1,2 135.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 54
1,5 32
2,5 69
FORECAST
2,1 358
TIERCE
2,1,5 994
TRIO
1,2,5 175
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 790
QUARTET
2,1,5,7 20,951
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/1,2,5 96,287
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 31.5
6TH DOUBLE
8/1 99.5
8/2 1,109