Sha Tin · 2022-06-25 · 15:03
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-25 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CORDYCEPS TWO, ridden by R Maia and trained by C H Yip, won by N, with SUPER HONG KONG second and CHATER PINS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite RIGHT AS RAIN finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | CORDYCEPS TWO Closed strongly XB1 1.48.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 2 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 5 | 33.0 | N |
| 3 | 13 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 11 | 32.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | LUCKY MISSILE Led early CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 8.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | BORN THE SAME DAY Closed strongly H/TT1 C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 3 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | SHANGHAI DRAGON B M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 10 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly CP Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 4 | 2.7 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | SMILING TIME Closed strongly V/TT B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 9 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | VUKAN B/XB C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 8.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | CHEERY B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 7.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | RED ELYSEES B/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 13 | 39.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | JOYFUL HEART CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | DAILY CHARM B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 8 | 49.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 26.2% | 3.82 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | JOYFUL HEART | 10.6% | 9.42 | 13 |
| 3 | 3 | CHEERY | 9.9% | 10.08 | 11 |
| 4 | 10 | LUCKY MISSILE | 6.0% | 16.60 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | CHATER PINS | 5.5% | 18.04 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | RED ELYSEES | 5.4% | 18.42 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 5.4% | 18.47 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER HONG KONG | 5.3% | 18.88 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | VUKAN | 5.1% | 19.63 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 4.8% | 20.72 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | DAILY CHARM | 4.6% | 21.78 | 14 |
| 12 | 4 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 3.9% | 25.51 | 6 |
| 13 | 2 | SMILING TIME | 3.9% | 25.71 | 9 |
| 14 | 14 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 3.2% | 30.79 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 149.5
PLACE
8 81
13 84.5
14 50.5
QUINELLA
8,14 2,016.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,13 933
8,14 590
13,14 558.5
FORECAST
14,8 4,992
TIERCE
14,8,13 63,094
TRIO
8,13,14 12,449
FIRST 4
8,10,13,14 37,934
QUARTET
14,8,13,10 1,064,374
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 19.5
4TH DOUBLE
11/8 1,441
11/14 7,529