Sha Tin · 2022-06-25 · 14:31
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-25 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. NUNCHUKS, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with TYCOON JEWELLERY second and MARADO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite RAINBOW LIGHT finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | NUNCHUKS Closed strongly TT 1.22.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 10 | 36.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | TYCOON JEWELLERY Closed strongly H/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | MARADO Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 4 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY Closed strongly CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 4.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly H/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 6 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | RAINBOW LIGHT B/TT R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.1 | 3 |
| 8 | 14 | ROYAL AGILITY Led early B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 14 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | EZRA Closed strongly B H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 13 | 93.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 2 | 5.9 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 11 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | KING OF THE COURT CP/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | PERFETTO L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 63.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 12 | 43.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY | 21.3% | 4.70 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 16.2% | 6.17 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | VOYAGE STAR | 12.2% | 8.22 | 10 |
| 4 | 14 | ROYAL AGILITY | 9.0% | 11.08 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | MARADO | 7.9% | 12.59 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | TYCOON JEWELLERY | 6.6% | 15.20 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | LIFELINE VISION | 5.9% | 16.99 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | WOODFIRE BRO | 4.6% | 21.94 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | KING OF THE COURT | 4.0% | 25.08 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | NUNCHUKS | 3.7% | 26.70 | 1 |
| 11 | 6 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 2.6% | 39.20 | 14 |
| 12 | 2 | EZRA | 2.4% | 42.21 | 9 |
| 13 | 8 | PERFETTO | 2.2% | 45.72 | 13 |
| 14 | 7 | KASI FARASI | 1.5% | 64.89 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 361
PLACE
4 50.5
11 78
12 42.5
QUINELLA
11,12 2,544.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 821.5
4,12 444
11,12 721
FORECAST
11,12 4,727
TIERCE
11,12,4 49,031
TRIO
4,11,12 15,863
FIRST 4
4,7,11,12 51,231
QUARTET
11,12,4,7 1,693,809
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,5/4,11,12 994,018
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 25
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/11 2,153.5
2/12 110