沙田 · 2022-09-11 · 13:31
第 2場
2022-09-11沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、W Y So訓練的STRIVE FOR GLORY勝出，贏出3/4。GLORIFIED FIRE獲得亞軍；SUNNY BABY獲得季軍。4.6倍大熱門M M JOHNNY跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT 1.10.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 13 | 5.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | GLORIFIED FIRE CP- A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | SUNNY BABY S De Sousa · D A Hayes | S De Sousa | D A Hayes | 11 | 9.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | ZACIAN C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 6 | 8.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | THETA HEDGE B/H/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 9 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | THE GOOD DEAL CP-/H2/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 12 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | M M JOHNNY B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 4.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | HANDSOME GUYS B- L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 1 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | MEDIC ELITE B-/PC1/TT2 L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 8 | 51.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | GENERAL TRUMP B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 7 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | TAKINGUFURTHER V H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 14 | 34.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | THE JOLLY B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.1 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | DASHING GENIUS B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 5 | 71.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | THE JOLLY | 14.7% | 6.82 | 13 |
| 2 | 6 | M M JOHNNY | 13.7% | 7.30 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 10.7% | 9.36 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | ZACIAN | 8.4% | 11.92 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | GENERAL TRUMP | 7.9% | 12.64 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | THETA HEDGE | 7.9% | 12.69 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | THE GOOD DEAL | 7.1% | 14.02 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | DASHING GENIUS | 5.9% | 17.05 | 14 |
| 9 | 8 | SUNNY BABY | 5.7% | 17.46 | 3 |
| 10 | 13 | FORTUNE HERO | 4.9% | 20.58 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 4.3% | 23.22 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | GLORIFIED FIRE | 4.0% | 24.88 | 2 |
| 13 | 3 | HANDSOME GUYS | 2.8% | 35.58 | 8 |
| 14 | 11 | MEDIC ELITE | 2.1% | 48.75 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 50.5
PLACE
2 45
4 22.5
8 35.5
QUINELLA
2,4 346
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 122
2,8 198.5
4,8 134
FORECAST
4,2 593
TIERCE
4,2,8 5,150
TRIO
2,4,8 1,427
FIRST 4
2,4,8,14 1,625
QUARTET
4,2,8,14 36,885
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
14/2 123
14/4 254.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 29.5