沙田 · 2022-09-11 · 17:53
第 10場
2022-09-11沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、A T Millard訓練的GALLANT CROWN勝出，贏出N。TEMPEST EXPRESS獲得亞軍；ENCOUNTERED獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門NEVER TOO SOON跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GALLANT CROWN 後段發力 B/TT 1.22.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 52.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | TEMPEST EXPRESS 後段發力 E-/B2/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 35.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | ENCOUNTERED 後段發力 TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 12 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CIRCUIT STELLAR 早段領放 H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | BEAUTY CHAMP SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.6 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | CAPTAIN WIN 後段發力 XB-/V1 L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 11 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | LUCKY GOLD B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 41.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT 後段發力 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 14 | 43.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | HAPPY DAILY TT S De Sousa · L Ho | S De Sousa | L Ho | 2 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | STORM LEGEND A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | KING'S CAPITAL L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 8 | 50.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | NEVER TOO SOON 後段發力 TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 3.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | PRECISE EXPRESS H/P K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | TEXAS MOON P C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 55.0 | 19 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NEVER TOO SOON | 23.3% | 4.29 | 12 |
| 2 | 14 | HAPPY DAILY | 16.7% | 5.97 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 9.6% | 10.41 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 6.6% | 15.17 | 13 |
| 5 | 12 | STORM LEGEND | 6.4% | 15.57 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 6.1% | 16.27 | 5 |
| 7 | 13 | LUCKY GOLD | 5.4% | 18.59 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | CAPTAIN WIN | 5.0% | 19.98 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | GALLANT CROWN | 4.9% | 20.53 | 1 |
| 10 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 4.5% | 22.12 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | KING'S CAPITAL | 3.7% | 26.85 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | ENCOUNTERED | 3.4% | 29.69 | 3 |
| 13 | 8 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 2.9% | 34.04 | 2 |
| 14 | 9 | TEXAS MOON | 1.4% | 72.40 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 520.5
PLACE
7 31.5
8 92
10 116
QUINELLA
8,10 4,275
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 586.5
7,10 658.5
8,10 959
FORECAST
10,8 7,952
TIERCE
10,8,7 122,744
TRIO
7,8,10 16,458
FIRST 4
1,7,8,10 25,672
QUARTET
10,8,7,1 806,455
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 31.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,5/7,8,10 1,530,884
9TH DOUBLE
3/8 1,537
3/10 14,096.5
SIX UP
2,6/4,13/5,10/2,12/3,5/8,10 42,333
2 [C S Shum] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
2/3/8 15,458
2/3/10 111,356