Sha Tin · 2022-09-11 · 17:53
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 52.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS Closed strongly E-/B2/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 35.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 12 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR Led early H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY CHAMP SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.6 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN Closed strongly XB-/V1 L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 11 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 41.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | LIGHTNING BOLT Closed strongly H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 14 | 43.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY TT S De Sousa · L Ho | S De Sousa | L Ho | 2 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | STORM LEGEND A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 8 | 50.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 3.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS H/P K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | TEXAS MOON P C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 55.0 | 19 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-11 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GALLANT CROWN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by N, with TEMPEST EXPRESS second and ENCOUNTERED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite NEVER TOO SOON finished 12th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON | 23.3% | 4.29 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY | 16.7% | 5.97 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 9.6% | 10.41 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 6.6% | 15.17 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | STORM LEGEND | 6.4% | 15.57 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 6.1% | 16.27 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD | 5.4% | 18.59 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN | 5.0% | 19.98 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN | 4.9% | 20.53 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 4.5% | 22.12 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL | 3.7% | 26.85 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED | 3.4% | 29.69 | 3 |
| 13 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 2.9% | 34.04 | 2 |
| 14 | 0 | TEXAS MOON | 1.4% | 72.40 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 520.5
PLACE
7 31.5
8 92
10 116
QUINELLA
8,10 4,275
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 586.5
7,10 658.5
8,10 959
FORECAST
10,8 7,952
TIERCE
10,8,7 122,744
TRIO
7,8,10 16,458
FIRST 4
1,7,8,10 25,672
QUARTET
10,8,7,1 806,455
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 31.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,5/7,8,10 1,530,884
9TH DOUBLE
3/8 1,537
3/10 14,096.5
SIX UP
2,6/4,13/5,10/2,12/3,5/8,10 42,333
2 [C S Shum] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
2/3/8 15,458
2/3/10 111,356