Sha Tin · 2022-09-11 · 15:41
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING VICTORY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by L Ho, won by N, with BRAVE DREAMS second and SCIENCE PATCH third. The 2.5 favourite BEAUTY TYCOON finished 12th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AMAZING VICTORY H 1.10.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 1 | 3.8 | N |
| 2 | 13 | BRAVE DREAMS H/TT S De Sousa · A S Cruz | S De Sousa | A S Cruz | 6 | 9.6 | N |
| 3 | 3 | SCIENCE PATCH B H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 9 | 43.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | TURBO POWER A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 12 | 31.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | PRIDE OF EIGHT XB L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 10 | 40.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | STARRY NIGHT CP-/B1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.3 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 13 | 39.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | ADEFILL CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 8.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 14 | 48.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 8 | 44.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 69.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | BEAUTY TYCOON A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 2.5 | 6 |
| 13 | 14 | JAZZ STEED V-/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 68.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | SMILING MOON K H Chan · K H Ting | K H Chan | K H Ting | 3 | 193.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY TYCOON | 22.0% | 4.54 | 12 |
| 2 | 9 | STARRY NIGHT | 16.3% | 6.14 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | AMAZING VICTORY | 15.5% | 6.44 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | TURBO POWER | 6.5% | 15.40 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | BRAVE DREAMS | 6.3% | 15.83 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | ADEFILL | 5.9% | 17.04 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | ROYAL AGILITY | 5.1% | 19.80 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | SCIENCE PATCH | 4.6% | 21.95 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | REGENCY BO BO | 4.2% | 23.65 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 3.7% | 27.28 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 3.2% | 30.85 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | PRIDE OF EIGHT | 3.1% | 32.61 | 5 |
| 13 | 14 | JAZZ STEED | 2.9% | 34.63 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | SMILING MOON | 0.8% | 126.06 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 38.5
PLACE
3 70
4 15
13 22
QUINELLA
4,13 178
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 177
3,13 361.5
4,13 62
FORECAST
4,13 375
TIERCE
4,13,3 6,151
TRIO
3,4,13 1,699
FIRST 4
3,4,8,13 4,980
QUARTET
4,13,3,8 55,093
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/4 627.5
2/13 213
TRIPLE TRIO
4,7,9/2,4,6/3,4,13 9,719,282
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,7,9/2,4,6/Any Combination 2,782