Sha Tin · 2022-09-11 · 16:11
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B 1.09.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 2.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | E LEGEND H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 3 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | MR MAJESTIC H1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP/XB M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SOLAR WINDS H/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 87.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | DYNAMIC SPIRIT TT1 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 5 | 78.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | VILLA FIONN B H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 2 | 131.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GRACYLOVE V H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 7 | 65.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | INFINITE POWER CP Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 10 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | DROPS OF GOD L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 13 | 20.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | BRILLIANT LIFE B- K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 12 | 38.0 | 13-1/4 |
| — | 0 | POWER KOEPP E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | — | 7.6 | 4-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-11 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ORIENTAL SMOKE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 2-1/2, with E LEGEND second and MR MAJESTIC third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 27.2% | 3.67 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER FORTUNE | 19.3% | 5.19 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | POWER KOEPP | 12.4% | 8.05 | — |
| 4 | 0 | E LEGEND | 11.9% | 8.39 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | DROPS OF GOD | 6.5% | 15.31 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | GRACYLOVE | 4.1% | 24.14 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 3.9% | 25.97 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | MR MAJESTIC | 3.3% | 29.86 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | INFINITE POWER | 2.8% | 35.77 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | DYNAMIC SPIRIT | 2.4% | 41.31 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | SOLAR WINDS | 2.3% | 42.81 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | BRILLIANT LIFE | 2.3% | 44.28 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 1.5% | 67.60 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 26
PLACE
5 12
8 35.5
10 36.5
QUINELLA
5,10 245
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 82
5,10 82
8,10 283.5
FORECAST
5,10 324
TIERCE
5,10,8 3,608
TRIO
5,8,10 1,128
FIRST 4
4,5,8,10 361
QUARTET
5,10,8,4 9,184
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,13/5,8,10 138,672
3 PICK 1
A1 13.5
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
4/5 96.5
4/10 314