Sha Tin · 2022-09-11 · 13:02
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA Closed strongly CP/TT 1.35.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 3.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SMART COUSIN Closed strongly A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 50.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY B Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 7 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT Closed strongly B C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 13 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNING STEED H-/B/TT1 S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 9 | 8.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | MISTER MONTE Led early B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 11 | 32.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GRAND POWER B L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 2 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RUN DES RUN TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SKY GEM K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 14 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 1 | 54.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER B K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 6 | 10.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-11 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. THIS IS CHARISMA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with SMART COUSIN second and STAR OF GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 18.5% | 5.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 10.4% | 9.60 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | GRAND POWER | 10.2% | 9.84 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY | 9.7% | 10.32 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SKY GEM | 9.1% | 11.05 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 6.2% | 16.12 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | RUN DES RUN | 5.8% | 17.13 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT | 5.1% | 19.80 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 4.8% | 20.73 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | WINNING STEED | 4.7% | 21.50 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.5% | 22.12 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | MISTER MONTE | 4.3% | 23.07 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 3.8% | 26.29 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 3.0% | 33.68 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 37.5
PLACE
2 16.5
13 112
14 17
QUINELLA
13,14 907
QUINELLA PLACE
2,13 410
2,14 41
13,14 298.5
FORECAST
14,13 2,058
TIERCE
14,13,2 10,138
TRIO
2,13,14 1,348
FIRST 4
2,6,13,14 8,752
QUARTET
14,13,2,6 185,927
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19
A2 —