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Sha Tin · 2022-09-11 · 15:08

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1000m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 0.56.52
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KA YING SPIRIT B/TT 0.56.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C S Shum 3 14.0 SH
2 0 AMAZING ROCKY H- Z Purton · T P Yung 12 3.0 SH
3 0 CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 4 9.3 1/2
4 0 UNITED WE STAND B/TT K H Chan · P C Ng 6 11.0 2-3/4
5 0 WE ARE HERO B M F Poon · K L Man 1 9.9 3-3/4
6 0 JACK WIN B/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 9 76.0 4-1/4
7 0 GLORY BO BO B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum 5 28.0 4-1/2
8 0 KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 14 10.0 4-3/4
9 0 SMART LEADER B/TT S De Sousa · W Y So 11 8.0 5
10 0 SPARKLING DOLPHIN K Teetan · Y S Tsui 8 11.0 5-1/2
11 0 QUORUM B/TT V Borges · R Gibson 7 58.0 5-3/4
12 0 LUCKY BANNER TT A Badel · C Fownes 13 12.0 6-1/4
13 0 WAYFOONG LEGEND L Currie · D A Hayes 2 18.0 6-1/2
14 0 BULB PRINCE H/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip 10 95.0 11-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-11 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. KA YING SPIRIT, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with AMAZING ROCKY second and CHEVAL VALIANT third. The 3.0 favourite AMAZING ROCKY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KA YING SPIRIT—2. AMAZING ROCKY+0.1L3. CHEVAL VALIANT+0.5L4. UNITED WE STAND+2.75L5. WE ARE HERO+3.75L6. JACK WIN+4.25L7. GLORY BO BO+4.5L8. KOWLOON EAST STAR+4.75L9. SMART LEADER+5L10. SPARKLING DOLPHIN+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick LUCKY BANNER (14.7%) finished 12th — the winner KA YING SPIRIT was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LUCKY BANNER 14.7% 6.81 12
2 0 CHEVAL VALIANT 13.2% 7.57 3
3 0 GLORY BO BO 10.1% 9.91 7
4 0 WE ARE HERO 9.9% 10.10 5
5 0 AMAZING ROCKY 9.8% 10.17 2
6 0 SPARKLING DOLPHIN 7.8% 12.89 10
7 0 UNITED WE STAND 7.3% 13.70 4
8 0 WAYFOONG LEGEND 5.8% 17.35 13
9 0 SMART LEADER 5.5% 18.09 9
10 0 KA YING SPIRIT 5.4% 18.69 1
11 0 KOWLOON EAST STAR 5.2% 19.31 8
12 0 QUORUM 2.3% 43.71 11
13 0 JACK WIN 1.6% 62.74 6
14 0 BULB PRINCE 1.5% 65.22 14
LUCKY BANNERCHEVAL VALIANTGLORY BO BOWE ARE HEROAMAZING ROCKYSPARKLING DOLPHINUNITED WE STANDWAYFOONG LEGENDSMART LEADERKA YING SPIRIT — wonKOWLOON EAST STARQUORUMJACK WINBULB PRINCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 140

PLACE

2 39.5

4 27.5

6 15.5

QUINELLA

2,6 210.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 176

2,6 84

4,6 56

FORECAST

2,6 676

TIERCE

2,6,4 4,082

TRIO

2,4,6 526

FIRST 4

2,4,6,9 1,169

QUARTET

2,6,4,9 33,644

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 19

A1 —

4TH DOUBLE

9/2 219

9/6 14