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Sha Tin · 2022-09-11 · 16:43

Race 8

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.73
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ETERNAL BLOOM Closed strongly 1.22.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu 2 7.8 SH
2 0 STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B Y L Chung · P C Ng 3 10.0 SH
3 0 BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly V/TT S De Sousa · K H Ting 11 20.0 3/4
4 0 WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · L Ho 6 6.8 2
5 0 WIDE BLUE YONDER CP Z Purton · D A Hayes 4 3.5 2
6 0 MAXIMIZE HEART C Wong · C H Yip 5 61.0 2-1/4
7 0 CASA LEGEND CP/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 1 6.8 4-1/4
8 0 PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly SR/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 10 61.0 4-3/4
9 0 RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 13 14.0 5
10 0 LEATHER VANGUARD C L Chau · T P Yung 9 10.0 6-1/2
11 0 EXUBERANT B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 8 49.0 6-3/4
12 0 KING TOURBILLON Closed strongly B-/TT A Badel · C Fownes 14 12.0 7
13 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE XB/B2 M F Poon · C W Chang 12 29.0 7-1/4
14 0 MAGIC SUPREME Led early B/TT H W Lai · K L Man 7 29.0 14-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-11 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ETERNAL BLOOM, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with STUNNING IMPACT second and BLISSFUL STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite WIDE BLUE YONDER finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ETERNAL BLOOM—2. STUNNING IMPACT+0.1L3. BLISSFUL STAR+0.75L4. WOODFIRE BRO+2L5. WIDE BLUE YONDER+2L6. MAXIMIZE HEART+2.25L7. CASA LEGEND+4.25L8. PERFECT TO GREAT+4.75L9. RAINBOW LIGHT+5L10. LEATHER VANGUARD+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick WIDE BLUE YONDER (18.6%) finished 5th — the winner ETERNAL BLOOM was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 WIDE BLUE YONDER 18.6% 5.37 5
2 0 WOODFIRE BRO 10.6% 9.42 4
3 0 BLISSFUL STAR 10.1% 9.88 3
4 0 LEATHER VANGUARD 10.1% 9.92 10
5 0 STUNNING IMPACT 9.7% 10.28 2
6 0 ETERNAL BLOOM 6.1% 16.29 1
7 0 CASA LEGEND 6.1% 16.50 7
8 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 5.3% 18.77 13
9 0 RAINBOW LIGHT 5.3% 18.80 9
10 0 KING TOURBILLON 5.3% 19.05 12
11 0 EXUBERANT 4.9% 20.34 11
12 0 PERFECT TO GREAT 4.1% 24.67 8
13 0 MAXIMIZE HEART 2.4% 42.26 6
14 0 MAGIC SUPREME 1.4% 71.22 14
WIDE BLUE YONDERWOODFIRE BROBLISSFUL STARLEATHER VANGUARDSTUNNING IMPACTETERNAL BLOOM — wonCASA LEGENDRIGHTEOUS DOCTRINERAINBOW LIGHTKING TOURBILLONEXUBERANTPERFECT TO GREATMAXIMIZE HEARTMAGIC SUPREME

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 78.5

PLACE

2 24.5

9 61

12 30

QUINELLA

2,12 340

QUINELLA PLACE

2,9 240

2,12 112

9,12 254

FORECAST

2,12 751

TIERCE

2,12,9 10,545

TRIO

2,9,12 1,893

FIRST 4

2,6,9,12 3,151

QUARTET

2,12,9,6 74,335

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 23.5

7TH DOUBLE

5/2 198.5

5/12 50