沙田 · 2022-09-11 · 16:43
第 8場
2022-09-11沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、P F Yiu訓練的ETERNAL BLOOM勝出，贏出SH。STUNNING IMPACT獲得亞軍；BLISSFUL STAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門WIDE BLUE YONDER跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ETERNAL BLOOM 後段發力 1.22.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 7.8 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | STUNNING IMPACT 後段發力 B Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 3 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | BLISSFUL STAR 後段發力 V/TT S De Sousa · K H Ting | S De Sousa | K H Ting | 11 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | WOODFIRE BRO 後段發力 H/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 6 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | WIDE BLUE YONDER CP Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | MAXIMIZE HEART C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 61.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | CASA LEGEND CP/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 6.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | PERFECT TO GREAT 後段發力 SR/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 10 | 61.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | RAINBOW LIGHT 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | LEATHER VANGUARD C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | EXUBERANT B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 49.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | KING TOURBILLON 後段發力 B-/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 14 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 11 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE XB/B2 M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 12 | 29.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | MAGIC SUPREME 早段領放 B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 7 | 29.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 18.6% | 5.37 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | WOODFIRE BRO | 10.6% | 9.42 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | BLISSFUL STAR | 10.1% | 9.88 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | LEATHER VANGUARD | 10.1% | 9.92 | 10 |
| 5 | 12 | STUNNING IMPACT | 9.7% | 10.28 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | ETERNAL BLOOM | 6.1% | 16.29 | 1 |
| 7 | 14 | CASA LEGEND | 6.1% | 16.50 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 5.3% | 18.77 | 13 |
| 9 | 7 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 5.3% | 18.80 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | KING TOURBILLON | 5.3% | 19.05 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | EXUBERANT | 4.9% | 20.34 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 4.1% | 24.67 | 8 |
| 13 | 10 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 2.4% | 42.26 | 6 |
| 14 | 4 | MAGIC SUPREME | 1.4% | 71.22 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 78.5
PLACE
2 24.5
9 61
12 30
QUINELLA
2,12 340
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 240
2,12 112
9,12 254
FORECAST
2,12 751
TIERCE
2,12,9 10,545
TRIO
2,9,12 1,893
FIRST 4
2,6,9,12 3,151
QUARTET
2,12,9,6 74,335
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 23.5
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/2 198.5
5/12 50