沙田 · 2022-09-11 · 14:01
第 3場
2022-09-11沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、C S Shum訓練的VICTOR THE WINNER勝出，贏出3-1/4。THE HULK獲得亞軍；SUCCESS FIGHTER獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT1 1.09.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 2.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | THE HULK K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 10 | 6.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | SUCCESS FIGHTER B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | GALLANT WAKING XB H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 6 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 13 | 7.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | BLISSFUL LIFE TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 56.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 1 | 8.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | SON PAK FU CP-/BO1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 4 | 104.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | BIRDSVILLE SR/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | HAPPY HERO B V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 14 | 138.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | ONE FOR ALL CP/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 11 | 28.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | COUNTRY TREASURE B-/H/P1 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 12 | 13.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 3 | 51.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | MELBOURNE HALL | 15.0% | 6.67 | 7 |
| 2 | 13 | BIRDSVILLE | 13.6% | 7.35 | 10 |
| 3 | 4 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 12.9% | 7.77 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | THE HULK | 8.2% | 12.13 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 8.2% | 12.24 | 14 |
| 6 | 2 | GALLANT WAKING | 7.9% | 12.60 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | COUNTRY TREASURE | 7.9% | 12.68 | 13 |
| 8 | 5 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 6.0% | 16.56 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | SON PAK FU | 4.5% | 22.46 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | BLISSFUL LIFE | 4.1% | 24.37 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | SUCCESS FIGHTER | 4.1% | 24.65 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | ONE FOR ALL | 4.1% | 24.67 | 12 |
| 13 | 9 | MIGHTY STAR | 1.9% | 51.78 | 9 |
| 14 | 8 | HAPPY HERO | 1.7% | 60.52 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 22.5
PLACE
1 21
3 56
5 13
QUINELLA
1,5 90.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 221.5
1,5 39.5
3,5 106.5
FORECAST
5,1 123
TIERCE
5,1,3 1,974
TRIO
1,3,5 564
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 2,622
QUARTET
5,1,3,2 28,010
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
4/1 70
4/5 190
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16.5
A3 —