沙田 · 2022-09-11 · 15:08
第 5場
2022-09-11沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、C S Shum訓練的KA YING SPIRIT勝出，贏出SH。AMAZING ROCKY獲得亞軍；CHEVAL VALIANT獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門AMAZING ROCKY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT 0.56.52 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 14.0 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | AMAZING ROCKY H- Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 12 | 3.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 9.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT K H Chan · P C Ng | K H Chan | P C Ng | 6 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | WE ARE HERO B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 1 | 9.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | JACK WIN B/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 9 | 76.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | GLORY BO BO B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 14 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | SMART LEADER B/TT S De Sousa · W Y So | S De Sousa | W Y So | 11 | 8.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | QUORUM B/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 7 | 58.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY BANNER TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 13 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | WAYFOONG LEGEND L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 2 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | BULB PRINCE H/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 95.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LUCKY BANNER | 14.7% | 6.81 | 12 |
| 2 | 4 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 13.2% | 7.57 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | GLORY BO BO | 10.1% | 9.91 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | WE ARE HERO | 9.9% | 10.10 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | AMAZING ROCKY | 9.8% | 10.17 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 7.8% | 12.89 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | UNITED WE STAND | 7.3% | 13.70 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | WAYFOONG LEGEND | 5.8% | 17.35 | 13 |
| 9 | 14 | SMART LEADER | 5.5% | 18.09 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | KA YING SPIRIT | 5.4% | 18.69 | 1 |
| 11 | 10 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 5.2% | 19.31 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | QUORUM | 2.3% | 43.71 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | JACK WIN | 1.6% | 62.74 | 6 |
| 14 | 11 | BULB PRINCE | 1.5% | 65.22 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 140
PLACE
2 39.5
4 27.5
6 15.5
QUINELLA
2,6 210.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 176
2,6 84
4,6 56
FORECAST
2,6 676
TIERCE
2,6,4 4,082
TRIO
2,4,6 526
FIRST 4
2,4,6,9 1,169
QUARTET
2,6,4,9 33,644
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 19
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/2 219
9/6 14