Sha Tin · 2022-09-11 · 17:18
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND Wire to wire CP/TT 1.21.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 6 | 39.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SAUVESTRE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 4.8 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | PACKING VICTORY Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 2 | 7.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 8 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNER METHOD TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 8.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MASTER DELIGHT B S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 5 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SHINING GEM B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 3 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO CP- K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 10.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-11 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOOD LUCK FRIEND, ridden by V Borges and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with SAUVESTRE second and PACKING VICTORY third. The winner led throughout. The 4.8 favourite SAUVESTRE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAUVESTRE | 23.9% | 4.18 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 14.0% | 7.12 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 10.1% | 9.93 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 9.6% | 10.41 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | SHINING GEM | 8.8% | 11.38 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER DELIGHT | 8.7% | 11.54 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNER METHOD | 6.9% | 14.44 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | PACKING VICTORY | 6.0% | 16.65 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO | 5.0% | 20.13 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 3.5% | 28.41 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 3.5% | 28.55 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 393
PLACE
3 96
4 24
5 20
QUINELLA
3,5 800.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 423.5
3,5 263
4,5 85
FORECAST
3,5 2,489
TIERCE
3,5,4 17,345
TRIO
3,4,5 2,285
FIRST 4
3,4,5,7 4,736
QUARTET
3,5,4,7 154,476
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 21.5
8TH DOUBLE
2/3 2,764
2/5 65