沙田 · 2022-09-18 · 13:31
第 2場
2022-09-18沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、P F Yiu訓練的WINWIN THIRTYTHREE勝出，贏出3-1/2。AURORA HERO獲得亞軍；TOWARDS SUCCESS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.8倍大熱門APEX TOP跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 V 1.22.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 4 | 4.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | AURORA HERO 後段發力 B/TT1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | TOWARDS SUCCESS 後段發力 TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 13 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | LOTUS FAVORITES 後段發力 H-/B1 L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 12 | 9.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | BOOMING WELL 後段發力 TT- A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 1 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | ZACIAN 後段發力 C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 11 | 6.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | BRAVE POWER B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 7 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | APEX TOP B S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 3 | 4.8 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | TRAVEL GLORY B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 6.2 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | FORTUNE MARBO 早段領放 B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 38.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | FOXHUNTER WAY SR-/H/CP1 A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 8 | 30.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | GOLDEN FOUR L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 10 | 23.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | LEISURE AND GOLD H C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 14 | 94.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | NOBODY KNOWS H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 89.0 | 18-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 25.5% | 3.93 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | APEX TOP | 13.9% | 7.19 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | AURORA HERO | 9.5% | 10.56 | 2 |
| 4 | 13 | TRAVEL GLORY | 8.2% | 12.23 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | BOOMING WELL | 7.5% | 13.34 | 5 |
| 6 | 14 | ZACIAN | 6.4% | 15.51 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | BRAVE POWER | 6.0% | 16.78 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | GOLDEN FOUR | 5.3% | 18.69 | 12 |
| 9 | 5 | LOTUS FAVORITES | 5.0% | 20.03 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 4.7% | 21.07 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 4.0% | 25.05 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | NOBODY KNOWS | 1.7% | 59.32 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | FORTUNE MARBO | 1.3% | 76.71 | 10 |
| 14 | 2 | LEISURE AND GOLD | 1.0% | 98.46 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 49.5
PLACE
4 48.5
10 79
12 18.5
QUINELLA
4,12 388
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 545.5
4,12 137.5
10,12 222
FORECAST
12,4 757
TIERCE
12,4,10 7,828
TRIO
4,10,12 2,461
FIRST 4
4,5,10,12 5,673
QUARTET
12,4,10,5 116,659
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/4 113
1/12 124
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 27