沙田 · 2022-09-18 · 14:32
第 4場
2022-09-18沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、T P Yung訓練的CHIU CHOW BROTHER勝出，贏出1-3/4。U W BROTHER獲得亞軍；BOYS PARTY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門G ONE EXCELLENT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER 後段發力 B 1.22.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | U W BROTHER 早段領放 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | BOYS PARTY 後段發力 XB- L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | G ONE EXCELLENT V-/B2/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 1 | 4.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | EL JEFE 後段發力 TT- A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 11 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | BEST FOR YOU 後段發力 B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | HAPPY GATHERING Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 3 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | AMAZING NEWS 後段發力 P-/XB/PC1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 4.8 | 6 |
| 9 | 14 | OH BRAVO TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 6 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | SEA MONARCH M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 9 | 6.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | ALL IS READY 後段發力 B S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 13 | 29.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | FELIX THE KING CP/TT1 L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 5 | 25.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | GIVE WAY PLEASE CP/H/XB/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 12 | 25.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | MANY WINS B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 79.0 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SEA MONARCH | 11.8% | 8.49 | 10 |
| 2 | 4 | AMAZING NEWS | 11.3% | 8.82 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 11.1% | 9.02 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | HAPPY GATHERING | 9.3% | 10.70 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | BOYS PARTY | 9.3% | 10.78 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | EL JEFE | 8.6% | 11.66 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | U W BROTHER | 8.5% | 11.80 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | BEST FOR YOU | 6.3% | 15.88 | 6 |
| 9 | 14 | OH BRAVO | 6.0% | 16.56 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | FELIX THE KING | 5.2% | 19.34 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 4.7% | 21.30 | 1 |
| 12 | 12 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 3.6% | 27.94 | 13 |
| 13 | 1 | ALL IS READY | 3.0% | 33.60 | 11 |
| 14 | 2 | MANY WINS | 1.4% | 72.59 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 119
PLACE
9 65.5
10 31.5
11 34
QUINELLA
9,11 942
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 352
9,11 313
10,11 207.5
FORECAST
11,9 2,119
TIERCE
11,9,10 15,062
TRIO
9,10,11 3,473
FIRST 4
8,9,10,11 3,581
QUARTET
11,9,10,8 110,915
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,7/9,10,11 277,270
3 PICK 1
A2 23
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/9 139
1/11 358