跑馬地 · 2022-11-09 · 22:18
第 8場
2022-11-09跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的HEROIC MASTER勝出，贏出1-1/2。SUPER AXIOM獲得亞軍；SPECIAL M獲得季軍。頭馬以1.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HEROIC MASTER TT 0.56.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 1.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 29.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | SPECIAL M PC/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | SERGEANT PEPPER K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 5.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 2 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | SPONTANEOUS B V Borges · P C Ng | V Borges | P C Ng | 10 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | HARMONY FIRE SR1/TT S De Sousa · D J Whyte | S De Sousa | D J Whyte | 8 | 9.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | DRAGON ADMIRAL H1/XB1 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 6 | 35.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | CLASSIC POSH L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 37.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPER EAGLE H M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 45.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HEROIC MASTER | 39.2% | 2.55 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 10.5% | 9.52 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | HARMONY FIRE | 7.8% | 12.77 | 9 |
| 4 | 12 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 7.5% | 13.40 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | SPECIAL M | 5.7% | 17.69 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | DRAGON ADMIRAL | 5.3% | 18.98 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 5.1% | 19.59 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 5.1% | 19.70 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER AXIOM | 4.6% | 21.94 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | SPONTANEOUS | 4.1% | 24.30 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | CLASSIC POSH | 3.8% | 26.47 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPER EAGLE | 1.4% | 69.68 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 17.5
PLACE
1 58.5
5 11
7 53.5
QUINELLA
5,7 211.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 84.5
1,7 487
5,7 76
FORECAST
5,7 274
TIERCE
5,7,1 3,042
TRIO
1,5,7 1,190
FIRST 4
1,5,7,8 659
QUARTET
5,7,1,8 8,759
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/5 39.5
5/7 172