跑馬地 · 2022-11-09 · 22:53
第 9場
2022-11-09跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的STAR BRITE勝出，贏出NOSE。XPONENTIAL獲得亞軍；SMOKEY BEAR獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門SOLAR WINDS跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STAR BRITE CP/TT 1.09.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 11.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 7 | XPONENTIAL B/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 10 | 16.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 11 | SMOKEY BEAR H-/XB/B1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 53.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | HERE COMES TED B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 38.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | GLOBAL HARMONY CP L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SOLAR WINDS H/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 3 | 3.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 6.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SKY FOREVER B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 7 | 37.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | GLUCK RACER XB1/V2/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 9 | 7.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | DROPS OF GOD B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 7.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | FIVE ELEMENTS B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 2 | 5.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | YEABOI R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 12 | 85.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FIVE ELEMENTS | 22.8% | 4.38 | 11 |
| 2 | 3 | DROPS OF GOD | 15.6% | 6.41 | 10 |
| 3 | 9 | SOLAR WINDS | 10.8% | 9.29 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 10.7% | 9.34 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | GLUCK RACER | 8.7% | 11.45 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | STAR BRITE | 7.7% | 12.93 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | XPONENTIAL | 7.1% | 14.11 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | GLOBAL HARMONY | 4.1% | 24.47 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | HERE COMES TED | 3.7% | 27.12 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | SKY FOREVER | 3.6% | 27.55 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | SMOKEY BEAR | 2.8% | 36.33 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | YEABOI | 2.4% | 41.85 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 112.5
PLACE
4 31
7 36.5
11 121.5
QUINELLA
4,7 683.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 192
4,11 659.5
7,11 900.5
FORECAST
4,7 1,262
TIERCE
4,7,11 47,603
TRIO
4,7,11 7,897
FIRST 4
4,5,7,11 31,141
QUARTET
4,7,11,5 555,018
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 27
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/4,7,11 2,767,452
8TH DOUBLE
5/4 303
5/7 56
SIX UP
9,12/4,10/5,12/5,6/5,7/4,7 48,462
12/4/5/5/5/4 3,053,126
1 [K W Lui] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
5/5/4 977
5/5/7 173