跑馬地 · 2022-11-09 · 21:17
第 6場
2022-11-09跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、A T Millard訓練的INTREPID WINNER勝出，贏出HD。ENSURED獲得亞軍；SAVVY KINGMAN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門TEMPEST EXPRESS跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER 後段發力 B 1.49.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 10 | 12.0 | HD |
| 2 | 12 | ENSURED 後段發力 S De Sousa · D J Hall | S De Sousa | D J Hall | 7 | 4.4 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | SAVVY KINGMAN 後段發力 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 20.0 | N |
| 4 | 10 | LUCKY DIAMOND 後段發力 B/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 6 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CHAMPION DRAGON 早段領放 H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | ROBOT WARRIOR 後段發力 B2 H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 12 | 71.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | ROYAL BOMB V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 5.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | TEMPEST EXPRESS B/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 3.6 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | PRAGMATISM R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 4 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | WORLD FAMOUS B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 11 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | BULLETPROOF V V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 3 | 26.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | KING'S CAPITAL K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 9 | 20.0 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 18.9% | 5.30 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | ROYAL BOMB | 12.4% | 8.10 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER | 12.0% | 8.36 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 10.9% | 9.18 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 9.8% | 10.19 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | ENSURED | 9.2% | 10.87 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 9.1% | 11.05 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | BULLETPROOF | 6.7% | 14.85 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | KING'S CAPITAL | 4.7% | 21.25 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | WORLD FAMOUS | 3.4% | 29.49 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 1.6% | 64.25 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | PRAGMATISM | 1.5% | 66.95 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 125
PLACE
2 45
5 34
12 18.5
QUINELLA
5,12 360
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 381.5
2,12 118
5,12 122
FORECAST
5,12 721
TIERCE
5,12,2 11,479
TRIO
2,5,12 1,990
FIRST 4
2,5,10,12 2,046
QUARTET
5,12,2,10 65,272
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 35
5TH DOUBLE
4/5 3,508
4/12 237.5