Happy Valley · 2022-11-09 · 21:17
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B 1.49.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 10 | 12.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | ENSURED Closed strongly S De Sousa · D J Hall | S De Sousa | D J Hall | 7 | 4.4 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN Closed strongly A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 20.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 6 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON Led early H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly B2 H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 12 | 71.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 5.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS B/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 3.6 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | PRAGMATISM R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 4 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 11 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | BULLETPROOF V V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 3 | 26.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 9 | 20.0 | 19-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-09 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. INTREPID WINNER, ridden by H Bentley and trained by A T Millard, won by HD, with ENSURED second and SAVVY KINGMAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite TEMPEST EXPRESS finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 18.9% | 5.30 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB | 12.4% | 8.10 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 12.0% | 8.36 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 10.9% | 9.18 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 9.8% | 10.19 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | ENSURED | 9.2% | 10.87 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 9.1% | 11.05 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 6.7% | 14.85 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL | 4.7% | 21.25 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS | 3.4% | 29.49 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 1.6% | 64.25 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | PRAGMATISM | 1.5% | 66.95 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 125
PLACE
2 45
5 34
12 18.5
QUINELLA
5,12 360
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 381.5
2,12 118
5,12 122
FORECAST
5,12 721
TIERCE
5,12,2 11,479
TRIO
2,5,12 1,990
FIRST 4
2,5,10,12 2,046
QUARTET
5,12,2,10 65,272
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 35
5TH DOUBLE
4/5 3,508
4/12 237.5