Happy Valley · 2022-11-09 · 19:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly V-/TT 1.39.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 7 | 8.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | PACKING MONKEYKING Closed strongly M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 6 | 103.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR V/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 1 | 1.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SMOOTHIES Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 26.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING BOY TT S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 5 | 5.9 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY Closed strongly P-/H/TT- C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 8 | 56.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | EVER LAUGH V-/B2/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 2 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE CP L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 11 | 25.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 12 | 38.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MIGHTY VALOR Led early CP2/TT2 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 27.0 | 17-1/2 |
| — | 0 | HK DRAGON A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-09 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ROYAL PRIDE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with LEGION OF MERIT second and PACKING MONKEYKING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite BLISSFUL STAR finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR | 33.9% | 2.95 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 10.5% | 9.51 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 9.9% | 10.09 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE | 8.2% | 12.17 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN | 7.7% | 12.93 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 7.0% | 14.25 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | SMOOTHIES | 6.7% | 14.85 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL | 5.3% | 18.87 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 3.8% | 26.01 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 3.3% | 30.77 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | MIGHTY VALOR | 2.5% | 39.68 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | PACKING MONKEYKING | 1.1% | 94.52 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 103.5
PLACE
6 26
8 206
12 20.5
QUINELLA
6,12 428
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 1,369.5
6,12 109.5
8,12 1,031
FORECAST
6,12 789
TIERCE
6,12,8 57,821
TRIO
6,8,12 17,014
FIRST 4
4,6,8,12 3,392
QUARTET
6,12,8,4 142,339
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
6/6 354
6/12 75
3 PICK 1
A2 32
A3 —
A1 —