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Happy Valley · 2022-11-09 · 21:47

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD 1000m Course A 10 runners

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-09 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WHIZZ KID, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 2-3/4, with ROCK YA HEART second and HANDSOME BO BO third. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.55.89
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 WHIZZ KID B/TT 0.55.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz 8 2.4 2-3/4
2 6 ROCK YA HEART TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 3 5.5 2-3/4
3 2 HANDSOME BO BO TT H Bentley · C S Shum 7 23.0 3
4 7 PING HAI GALAXY A Badel · J Size 9 17.0 4
5 3 WE THE SOUTH H/XB V Borges · F C Lor 10 31.0 5
6 8 EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H L Hewitson · D J Whyte 2 4.8 5-1/4
7 9 RUN RUN COOL PC M F Poon · F C Lor 4 21.0 5-3/4
8 1 HARMONY AND RICH S De Sousa · Y S Tsui 5 17.0 6
9 10 SEIZING THE MOMENT B A Hamelin · J Size 6 10.0 7
10 4 CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 1 12.0 8-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WHIZZ KID2. ROCK YA HEART+2.75L3. HANDSOME BO BO+3L4. PING HAI GALAXY+4L5. WE THE SOUTH+5L6. EQUALETTA BLITZ+5.25L7. RUN RUN COOL+5.75L8. HARMONY AND RICH+6L9. SEIZING THE MOMENT+7L10. CLASSIC UNICORN+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick WHIZZ KID (31.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 WHIZZ KID 31.5% 3.18 1
2 8 EQUALETTA BLITZ 15.5% 6.45 6
3 6 ROCK YA HEART 14.8% 6.74 2
4 7 PING HAI GALAXY 6.7% 14.82 4
5 1 HARMONY AND RICH 6.3% 15.83 8
6 4 CLASSIC UNICORN 6.0% 16.56 10
7 10 SEIZING THE MOMENT 5.7% 17.45 9
8 9 RUN RUN COOL 5.7% 17.62 7
9 2 HANDSOME BO BO 4.5% 22.28 3
10 3 WE THE SOUTH 3.2% 31.23 5
WHIZZ KID — wonEQUALETTA BLITZROCK YA HEARTPING HAI GALAXYHARMONY AND RICHCLASSIC UNICORNSEIZING THE MOMENTRUN RUN COOLHANDSOME BO BOWE THE SOUTH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 24

PLACE

2 53.5

5 13.5

6 17

QUINELLA

5,6 74.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 100

2,6 150

5,6 33

FORECAST

5,6 118

TIERCE

5,6,2 1,552

TRIO

2,5,6 342

FIRST 4

2,5,6,7 1,005

QUARTET

5,6,2,7 12,233

All pools (5 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,5,12/2,5,6 90,480

3 PICK 1

A1 19.5

A2

A3

6TH DOUBLE

5/5 474

5/6 117

TRIPLE TRIO

4,6,10/2,5,12/2,5,6 2,091,753

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,6,10/2,5,12/Any Combination 35,494