Happy Valley · 2022-11-09 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HEROIC MASTER TT 0.56.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 1.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 29.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SPECIAL M PC/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SERGEANT PEPPER K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 5.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 2 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SPONTANEOUS B V Borges · P C Ng | V Borges | P C Ng | 10 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON ADMIRAL H1/XB1 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 6 | 35.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 37.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER EAGLE H M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 45.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | HARMONY FIRE SR1/TT S De Sousa · D J Whyte | S De Sousa | D J Whyte | — | 9.0 | 4-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-09 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. HEROIC MASTER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/2, with SUPER AXIOM second and SPECIAL M third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HEROIC MASTER | 39.2% | 2.55 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 10.5% | 9.52 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | HARMONY FIRE | 7.8% | 12.77 | — |
| 4 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 7.5% | 13.40 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SPECIAL M | 5.7% | 17.69 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON ADMIRAL | 5.3% | 18.98 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 5.1% | 19.59 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 5.1% | 19.70 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER AXIOM | 4.6% | 21.94 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | SPONTANEOUS | 4.1% | 24.30 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH | 3.8% | 26.47 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER EAGLE | 1.4% | 69.68 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 17.5
PLACE
1 58.5
5 11
7 53.5
QUINELLA
5,7 211.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 84.5
1,7 487
5,7 76
FORECAST
5,7 274
TIERCE
5,7,1 3,042
TRIO
1,5,7 1,190
FIRST 4
1,5,7,8 659
QUARTET
5,7,1,8 8,759
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/5 39.5
5/7 172