Happy Valley · 2022-11-09 · 18:47
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | 6 | 2.6 | N |
| 2 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 8 | 3.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | MISTER ARM Closed strongly L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 10 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER B/XB/TT R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 3 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 5.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | MOONLUCK Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 1 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LEISURE AND GOLD E1/XB1 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 7 | 57.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Led early H-/B1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | APEX TOP B H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 11 | 29.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | GIVE WAY PLEASE CP/H/XB/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 12 | 46.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CHIRON K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | QUORUM L Currie · R Gibson | L Currie | R Gibson | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-09 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LONDON LUCKYSTAR, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with MEDIC ELITE second and MISTER ARM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 23.9% | 4.18 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 14.5% | 6.91 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 12.5% | 7.98 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 11.9% | 8.39 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | MOONLUCK | 8.8% | 11.37 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 7.0% | 14.22 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 6.2% | 16.11 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | APEX TOP | 5.8% | 17.14 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | MISTER ARM | 5.3% | 18.88 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 2.3% | 43.60 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | LEISURE AND GOLD | 1.7% | 58.37 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 26.5
PLACE
6 49
8 13.5
9 15
QUINELLA
8,9 51
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 90
6,9 111
8,9 24.5
FORECAST
8,9 84
TIERCE
8,9,6 810
TRIO
6,8,9 213
FIRST 4
6,8,9,11 506
QUARTET
8,9,6,11 5,714
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 20
A3 —