Happy Valley · 2022-11-09 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-09 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RAINBOW LIGHT, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with SPICY GRILL second and COPARTNER ERA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.5 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | SPICY GRILL Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 7.4 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 6.4 | N |
| 4 | 7 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly CP K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 7 | 29.0 | N |
| 5 | 5 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly CP-/B2 L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 9 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | CORDYCEPS ONE B/H R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 5 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 6 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | AI ONE H1/TT1 A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | EXUBERANT B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 7.7 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 30.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 10 | SURE JOYFUL Led early V1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 10 | 34.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EXUBERANT | 17.6% | 5.67 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 13.1% | 7.65 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 12.3% | 8.11 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | SPICY GRILL | 9.8% | 10.21 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 9.3% | 10.78 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | COPARTNER ERA | 9.2% | 10.82 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | TAILOR MADE | 6.7% | 14.98 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | LIFELINE VISION | 6.6% | 15.09 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 4.2% | 23.59 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | SURE JOYFUL | 3.7% | 26.81 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | AI ONE | 3.7% | 27.12 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 3.7% | 27.14 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 45
PLACE
3 21
4 24
6 17.5
QUINELLA
4,6 153.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 101
3,6 45.5
4,6 55
FORECAST
6,4 324
TIERCE
6,4,3 1,552
TRIO
3,4,6 290
FIRST 4
3,4,6,7 1,959
QUARTET
6,4,3,7 31,823
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2,8/4 37
2,8/6 100.5
3 PICK 1
A1 28.5
A2 —
A3 —