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Happy Valley · 2022-11-09 · 19:16

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.41.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte 3 4.5 SH
2 0 SPICY GRILL Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · P C Ng 4 7.4 SH
3 0 COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B C Y Ho · W Y So 1 6.4 N
4 0 LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly CP K C Leung · D A Hayes 7 29.0 N
5 0 RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly CP-/B2 L Currie · D J Hall 9 6.6 3/4
6 0 CORDYCEPS ONE B/H R Maia · K W Lui 5 5.8 1-1/2
7 0 UNITED ENDEAVORS H M L Yeung · L Ho 6 16.0 2
8 0 AI ONE H1/TT1 A Hamelin · K H Ting 2 18.0 2
9 0 EXUBERANT B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 8 7.7 2
10 0 TAILOR MADE Closed strongly TT K H Chan · C Fownes 12 30.0 3
12 0 RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson 10 34.0 5-3/4
— 0 SURE JOYFUL Led early V1 M F Poon · P F Yiu — 27.0 4-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-09 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RAINBOW LIGHT, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with SPICY GRILL second and COPARTNER ERA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.5 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RAINBOW LIGHT—2. SPICY GRILL+0.1L3. COPARTNER ERA+0.05L4. LIFELINE VISION+0.05L5. RIGHT AS RAIN+0.75L6. CORDYCEPS ONE+1.5L7. UNITED ENDEAVORS+2L8. AI ONE+2L9. EXUBERANT+2L10. TAILOR MADE+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick EXUBERANT (17.6%) finished 9th — the winner RAINBOW LIGHT was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 EXUBERANT 17.6% 5.67 9
2 0 RAINBOW LIGHT 13.1% 7.65 1
3 0 CORDYCEPS ONE 12.3% 8.11 6
4 0 SPICY GRILL 9.8% 10.21 2
5 0 RIGHT AS RAIN 9.3% 10.78 5
6 0 COPARTNER ERA 9.2% 10.82 3
7 0 TAILOR MADE 6.7% 14.98 10
8 0 LIFELINE VISION 6.6% 15.09 4
9 0 RIGHT HONOURABLE 4.2% 23.59 12
10 0 SURE JOYFUL 3.7% 26.81 —
11 0 AI ONE 3.7% 27.12 8
12 0 UNITED ENDEAVORS 3.7% 27.14 7
EXUBERANTRAINBOW LIGHT — wonCORDYCEPS ONESPICY GRILLRIGHT AS RAINCOPARTNER ERATAILOR MADELIFELINE VISIONRIGHT HONOURABLESURE JOYFULAI ONEUNITED ENDEAVORS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 45

PLACE

3 21

4 24

6 17.5

QUINELLA

4,6 153.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 101

3,6 45.5

4,6 55

FORECAST

6,4 324

TIERCE

6,4,3 1,552

TRIO

3,4,6 290

FIRST 4

3,4,6,7 1,959

QUARTET

6,4,3,7 31,823

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

2,8/4 37

2,8/6 100.5

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 28.5