跑馬地 · 2022-11-09 · 20:46
第 5場
2022-11-09跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、P C Ng訓練的SUPER COMMANDER勝出，贏出3/4。SIXTH GENERATION獲得亞軍；YELLOWFIN獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門YELLOWFIN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT 0.56.65 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 12 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | SIXTH GENERATION TT1 C Wong · J Richards | C Wong | J Richards | 8 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | YELLOWFIN TT1 K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 1 | 2.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | DIVINE ERA TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 61.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | HAPPY TRIO SR-/H/V1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SEE U AGAIN B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 6.9 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | BRILLIANT LIFE A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 48.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | MULTIMORE TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 9.6 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | VIVA MAMA CP/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 2 | 23.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | BRILLIANT EIGHT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 129.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE H-/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 3.9 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SEE U AGAIN | 19.7% | 5.07 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | YELLOWFIN | 17.6% | 5.69 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE | 16.0% | 6.27 | 12 |
| 4 | 5 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 8.3% | 12.05 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | SIXTH GENERATION | 7.0% | 14.33 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | MULTIMORE | 6.7% | 14.89 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPER COMMANDER | 6.5% | 15.46 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | VIVA MAMA | 6.4% | 15.66 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | HAPPY TRIO | 6.3% | 15.92 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | BRILLIANT LIFE | 2.3% | 42.74 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | DIVINE ERA | 2.2% | 45.09 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | BRILLIANT EIGHT | 1.1% | 94.75 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 216.5
PLACE
4 49.5
6 12
10 48.5
QUINELLA
4,10 1,886
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 90
4,10 496
6,10 76
FORECAST
4,10 4,389
TIERCE
4,10,6 15,370
TRIO
4,6,10 885
FIRST 4
4,6,9,10 8,317
QUARTET
4,10,6,9 302,923
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,12/4,6,10 187,225
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 43.5
4TH DOUBLE
12/4 1,392
12/10 184