沙田 · 2022-11-27 · 17:57
第 10場
2022-11-27沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的PACKING TREADMILL勝出，贏出1。KING LAND獲得亞軍；WINNING METHOD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PACKING TREADMILL 後段發力 SR 1.21.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | KING LAND 後段發力 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | WINNING METHOD 後段發力 TT L Currie · C S Shum | L Currie | C S Shum | 2 | 36.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | SNAFFLES 後段發力 B- M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 159.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SHINING GEM B Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 7 | 38.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | BEAUTY LIVE 後段發力 TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SIGHT SPIRIT 後段發力 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 4.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | CZARSON 後段發力 CP J McNeil · P F Yiu | J McNeil | P F Yiu | 13 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | ATOMIC BEAUTY B1/TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | JUMBO FORTUNE 後段發力 H/B1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 6.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 6 | 27.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 1 | SILVER EXPRESS B H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 14 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 6 | FIND MY LOVE 後段發力 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 102.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | BUDDIES 早段領放 B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 4 | 22.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PACKING TREADMILL | 26.7% | 3.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | BEAUTY LIVE | 11.1% | 9.04 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 10.0% | 9.96 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 9.1% | 10.95 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | KING LAND | 8.7% | 11.45 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 7.4% | 13.51 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | WINNING METHOD | 5.6% | 17.79 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | SILVER EXPRESS | 4.4% | 22.47 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | SHINING GEM | 4.3% | 23.35 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | CZARSON | 4.1% | 24.17 | 8 |
| 11 | 13 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 3.7% | 26.70 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | FIND MY LOVE | 2.4% | 41.73 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | BUDDIES | 1.4% | 69.63 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | SNAFFLES | 0.9% | 117.15 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 23.5
PLACE
2 64.5
9 40
10 13
QUINELLA
9,10 155
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 443
2,10 123
9,10 66
FORECAST
10,9 302
TIERCE
10,9,2 3,752
TRIO
2,9,10 1,030
FIRST 4
2,9,10,14 27,804
QUARTET
10,9,2,14 199,987
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,10/2,9,10 955,122
9TH DOUBLE
4/9 427
4/10 524
SIX UP
6,10/2,9/5,8/8,11/4,10/9,10 14,291
10/9/8/11/4/10 546,941
1 [Z Purton] —
5 [T P Yung] —
TREBLE
11/4/9 969
11/4/10 1,038