沙田 · 2022-11-27 · 16:48
第 8場
2022-11-27沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的SWEET ENCOUNTER勝出，贏出2。ENTRUSTED獲得亞軍；GOLDEN EMPIRE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以1.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SWEET ENCOUNTER 後段發力 1.34.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 1.4 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | ENTRUSTED 後段發力 CP/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 1 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE 早段領放 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 39.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN 後段發力 V/XB/TT1 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 13 | 9.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | PRINCE ALEX 後段發力 SR/CP1 J McNeil · D J Whyte | J McNeil | D J Whyte | 4 | 42.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | LOOKING COOL PC M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | HAPPY DAILY 後段發力 TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 11 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 TT Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 14 | 132.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | GIFT OF LIFELINE B L Currie · A T Millard | L Currie | A T Millard | 2 | 48.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | ROUND THE EARTH B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 12 | 49.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | POWERFUL WINGS B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.4 | 5 |
| 12 | 14 | DEAR SIBLING B1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 177.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | KASA PAPA TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 58.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 2 | PEGASUS HERO H R Maia · Y S Tsui | R Maia | Y S Tsui | 9 | 220.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | IMPERIAL MAGEE V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 40.5% | 2.47 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | POWERFUL WINGS | 17.0% | 5.87 | 11 |
| 3 | 12 | LOOKING COOL | 6.0% | 16.78 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN | 5.2% | 19.40 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.3% | 23.22 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 4.2% | 23.63 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | PRINCE ALEX | 4.2% | 23.72 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | ENTRUSTED | 4.2% | 24.08 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | KASA PAPA | 3.6% | 28.14 | 13 |
| 10 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 3.5% | 28.26 | 3 |
| 11 | 13 | ROUND THE EARTH | 2.4% | 41.94 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 2.2% | 45.94 | 8 |
| 13 | 14 | DEAR SIBLING | 2.0% | 49.61 | 12 |
| 14 | 2 | PEGASUS HERO | 0.8% | 132.91 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 14.5
PLACE
4 42.5
8 41
11 11
QUINELLA
8,11 182
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 591.5
4,11 63.5
8,11 64
FORECAST
11,8 168
TIERCE
11,8,4 3,246
TRIO
4,8,11 1,388
FIRST 4
1,4,8,11 1,693
QUARTET
11,8,4,1 20,771
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14.5
7TH DOUBLE
8/8 160.5
8/11 50.5