沙田 · 2022-11-27 · 15:16
第 5場
2022-11-27沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由K C Leung策騎、T P Yung訓練的FIERY DIAMOND勝出，贏出3-3/4。WINNING ICEY獲得亞軍；RED DESERT獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門MIDORI BEAUTY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FIERY DIAMOND 1.08.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | WINNING ICEY TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 3 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | RED DESERT B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 7.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | MIDORI BEAUTY TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 5 | 2.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 6 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 7 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | MAN STAR V H Bowman · K H Ting | H Bowman | K H Ting | 4 | 6.1 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | TRADER CP/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 9 | 7.9 | 11-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | CALL ME TEDDY TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 14.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | COPARTNER AMBITION CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 33.0 | 22-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | SPARKLING KNIGHT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 12 | 82.0 | 30-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | JOLLY RULER M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 11 | 9.2 | 33 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MIDORI BEAUTY | 25.9% | 3.86 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | WINNING ICEY | 14.0% | 7.14 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | FIERY DIAMOND | 12.1% | 8.25 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | MAN STAR | 11.6% | 8.62 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | JOLLY RULER | 6.8% | 14.80 | 12 |
| 6 | 2 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 5.8% | 17.11 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | TRADER | 5.5% | 18.03 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 4.7% | 21.46 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | RED DESERT | 4.5% | 22.02 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | CALL ME TEDDY | 4.2% | 23.64 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 2.6% | 38.15 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 2.2% | 46.14 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 168
PLACE
4 21
6 42.5
10 41.5
QUINELLA
6,10 786.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 195.5
4,10 145
6,10 198.5
FORECAST
10,6 1,549
TIERCE
10,6,4 13,792
TRIO
4,6,10 2,018
FIRST 4
4,5,6,10 867
QUARTET
10,6,4,5 32,283
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 34
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/6 64.5
4/10 367