沙田 · 2022-11-27 · 13:16
第 2場
2022-11-27沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、T P Yung訓練的CHIU CHOW BROTHER勝出，贏出N。WINWIN THIRTYTHREE獲得亞軍；HANDSOME GUYS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER 後段發力 B 1.22.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 2.9 | N |
| 2 | 1 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 V H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 10 | 5.7 | N |
| 3 | 12 | HANDSOME GUYS 早段領放 E/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | GIVE WAY PLEASE CP-/H/XB/B2/TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 1 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | ACA POWER 後段發力 H L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 7 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | TEAM GOODLUCK CP/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SUNNY BABY 後段發力 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 14 | 7.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | M M JOHNNY B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | BEST FOR YOU 後段發力 B J McNeil · Y S Tsui | J McNeil | Y S Tsui | 2 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | BOOMING WELL A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | SMART FOLKS B H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | BRAVE POWER B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | PRIDE OF DRAGON TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 12 | 47.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | MANY WINS B/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 13 | 153.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY MATADOR R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUNNY BABY | 22.9% | 4.37 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 14.2% | 7.06 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | M M JOHNNY | 10.7% | 9.35 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 9.8% | 10.16 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | HANDSOME GUYS | 8.3% | 12.11 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 6.9% | 14.46 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | BRAVE POWER | 5.9% | 16.95 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | ACA POWER | 4.8% | 20.89 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | BEST FOR YOU | 4.7% | 21.29 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | SMART FOLKS | 3.1% | 32.23 | 11 |
| 11 | 13 | BOOMING WELL | 2.8% | 36.09 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 2.5% | 39.85 | 4 |
| 13 | 7 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 2.4% | 41.41 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | MANY WINS | 1.1% | 93.84 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 29
PLACE
1 20.5
3 13
12 36.5
QUINELLA
1,3 100
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 42.5
1,12 143
3,12 88
FORECAST
3,1 166
TIERCE
3,1,12 1,606
TRIO
1,3,12 517
FIRST 4
1,3,12,14 2,975
QUARTET
3,1,12,14 34,853
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/1 68.5
5/3 281.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19.5