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Sha Tin · 2022-11-27 · 13:16

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.24
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CHIU CHOW BROTHER Closed strongly B 1.22.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung 5 2.9 N
2 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V H Bowman · P F Yiu 10 5.7 N
3 0 HANDSOME GUYS Led early E/TT K H Chan · C Fownes 4 14.0 2
4 0 GIVE WAY PLEASE CP-/H/XB/B2/TT V Borges · K H Ting 1 31.0 2-1/4
5 0 ACA POWER Closed strongly H L Currie · D J Hall 7 14.0 3
6 0 TEAM GOODLUCK CP/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 11 14.0 3-1/4
7 0 SUNNY BABY Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes 14 7.4 3-1/2
8 0 M M JOHNNY B M Chadwick · K L Man 6 10.0 4
9 0 BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B J McNeil · Y S Tsui 2 18.0 4-1/4
10 0 BOOMING WELL A Hamelin · C H Yip 3 16.0 5
11 0 SMART FOLKS B H N Wong · C W Chang 8 28.0 6
12 0 BRAVE POWER B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 9 19.0 6
13 0 PRIDE OF DRAGON TT L Hewitson · J Richards 12 47.0 7-3/4
14 0 MANY WINS B/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui 13 153.0 8-1/4
— 0 HAPPY MATADOR R Maia · R Gibson — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-27 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CHIU CHOW BROTHER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with WINWIN THIRTYTHREE second and HANDSOME GUYS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHIU CHOW BROTHER—2. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE+0.05L3. HANDSOME GUYS+2L4. GIVE WAY PLEASE+2.25L5. ACA POWER+3L6. TEAM GOODLUCK+3.25L7. SUNNY BABY+3.5L8. M M JOHNNY+4L9. BEST FOR YOU+4.25L10. BOOMING WELL+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SUNNY BABY (22.9%) finished 7th — the winner CHIU CHOW BROTHER was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUNNY BABY 22.9% 4.37 7
2 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 14.2% 7.06 2
3 0 M M JOHNNY 10.7% 9.35 8
4 0 CHIU CHOW BROTHER 9.8% 10.16 1
5 0 HANDSOME GUYS 8.3% 12.11 3
6 0 TEAM GOODLUCK 6.9% 14.46 6
7 0 BRAVE POWER 5.9% 16.95 12
8 0 ACA POWER 4.8% 20.89 5
9 0 BEST FOR YOU 4.7% 21.29 9
10 0 SMART FOLKS 3.1% 32.23 11
11 0 BOOMING WELL 2.8% 36.09 10
12 0 GIVE WAY PLEASE 2.5% 39.85 4
13 0 PRIDE OF DRAGON 2.4% 41.41 13
14 0 MANY WINS 1.1% 93.84 14
SUNNY BABYWINWIN THIRTYTHREEM M JOHNNYCHIU CHOW BROTHER — wonHANDSOME GUYSTEAM GOODLUCKBRAVE POWERACA POWERBEST FOR YOUSMART FOLKSBOOMING WELLGIVE WAY PLEASEPRIDE OF DRAGONMANY WINS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 29

PLACE

1 20.5

3 13

12 36.5

QUINELLA

1,3 100

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 42.5

1,12 143

3,12 88

FORECAST

3,1 166

TIERCE

3,1,12 1,606

TRIO

1,3,12 517

FIRST 4

1,3,12,14 2,975

QUARTET

3,1,12,14 34,853

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

5/1 68.5

5/3 281.5

3 PICK 1

A1 19.5

A2 —

A3 —