Sha Tin · 2022-11-27 · 13:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-27 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CHIU CHOW BROTHER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with WINWIN THIRTYTHREE second and HANDSOME GUYS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER Closed strongly B 1.22.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 2.9 | N |
| 2 | 1 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 10 | 5.7 | N |
| 3 | 12 | HANDSOME GUYS Led early E/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | GIVE WAY PLEASE CP-/H/XB/B2/TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 1 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | ACA POWER Closed strongly H L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 7 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | TEAM GOODLUCK CP/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 14 | 7.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | M M JOHNNY B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B J McNeil · Y S Tsui | J McNeil | Y S Tsui | 2 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | BOOMING WELL A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | SMART FOLKS B H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | BRAVE POWER B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | PRIDE OF DRAGON TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 12 | 47.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | MANY WINS B/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 13 | 153.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY MATADOR R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUNNY BABY | 22.9% | 4.37 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 14.2% | 7.06 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | M M JOHNNY | 10.7% | 9.35 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 9.8% | 10.16 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | HANDSOME GUYS | 8.3% | 12.11 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 6.9% | 14.46 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | BRAVE POWER | 5.9% | 16.95 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | ACA POWER | 4.8% | 20.89 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | BEST FOR YOU | 4.7% | 21.29 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | SMART FOLKS | 3.1% | 32.23 | 11 |
| 11 | 13 | BOOMING WELL | 2.8% | 36.09 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 2.5% | 39.85 | 4 |
| 13 | 7 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 2.4% | 41.41 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | MANY WINS | 1.1% | 93.84 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 29
PLACE
1 20.5
3 13
12 36.5
QUINELLA
1,3 100
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 42.5
1,12 143
3,12 88
FORECAST
3,1 166
TIERCE
3,1,12 1,606
TRIO
1,3,12 517
FIRST 4
1,3,12,14 2,975
QUARTET
3,1,12,14 34,853
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/1 68.5
5/3 281.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19.5