Sha Tin · 2022-11-27 · 16:16
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-27 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. KEEFY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 3-1/2, with BELUGA second and ALL FOR ST PAUL'S third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite BEAUTYVERSE finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | KEEFY Closed strongly 1.33.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 3.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | BELUGA H H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Closed strongly B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 5 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly CP1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly CP-/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | THE ROCK Led early B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | BEAUTYVERSE TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.1 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL B L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 6 | 23.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | RUNNING GLORY V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 9.1 | 10-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | C P BRAVE TT H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 7 | 71.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BEAUTYVERSE | 45.3% | 2.21 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | KEEFY | 17.0% | 5.89 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | RUNNING GLORY | 10.5% | 9.50 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | THE ROCK | 5.4% | 18.68 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | BELUGA | 4.8% | 20.87 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | BUTTERFIELD | 4.6% | 21.92 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 4.4% | 22.55 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 3.8% | 26.64 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | C P BRAVE | 2.6% | 38.74 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 1.7% | 57.87 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 30.5
PLACE
5 31.5
7 39.5
8 12
QUINELLA
5,8 228
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 205
5,8 66
7,8 79.5
FORECAST
8,5 447
TIERCE
8,5,7 4,495
TRIO
5,7,8 905
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 2,365
QUARTET
8,5,7,2 32,550
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,9/5,7,8 24,689
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 12.5
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
9/5 253.5
9/8 537