Sha Tin · 2022-11-27 · 15:46
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER RED DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 14 | 8.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ONE VOICE Led early TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON Closed strongly H H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 3 | 8.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHING Closed strongly L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 1 | 3.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 11 | 9.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON B-/V1 Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 9 | 46.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY B2 C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 2 | 9.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly BO1/XB1/TT L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 8 | 44.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | LEAN HERO Closed strongly J McNeil · D A Hayes | J McNeil | D A Hayes | 13 | 125.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RED TITAN Closed strongly H/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 12 | 22.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | EL JEFE V A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 22.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER ACE V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 136.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | WIN WIN CHARITY XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 6 | 201.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SHINING RED SR M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 10 | 90.0 | 16 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-27 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER RED DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with ONE VOICE second and MILLENNIUM FALCON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite ONE VOICE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ONE VOICE | 18.4% | 5.42 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | CHING | 17.4% | 5.75 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | EL JEFE | 10.4% | 9.59 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 9.4% | 10.67 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 8.7% | 11.51 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 8.1% | 12.29 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 8.1% | 12.38 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | RED TITAN | 5.3% | 18.82 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | GALLANT HERO | 3.8% | 26.41 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON | 3.3% | 29.90 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER ACE | 2.7% | 37.35 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | LEAN HERO | 2.0% | 50.26 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | SHINING RED | 1.3% | 76.00 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | WIN WIN CHARITY | 1.0% | 96.43 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 87.5
PLACE
2 14
4 25
9 30
QUINELLA
2,9 163
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 49.5
2,9 63.5
4,9 118.5
FORECAST
9,2 446
TIERCE
9,2,4 2,390
TRIO
2,4,9 435
FIRST 4
2,4,5,9 316
QUARTET
9,2,4,5 11,163
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 36
5TH DOUBLE
10/2 100.5
10/9 2,010
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,7/4,6,10/Any Combination 27,368