Sha Tin · 2022-11-27 · 12:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WE ARE HERO B-/V1/TT1 0.56.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 7 | 5.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | BABY CRYSTAL V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 10 | 1.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | ONE FOR ALL B/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 12 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MIGHTY VALOR CP/TT Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 1 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE ONE H/TT1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER EAGLE H- L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 9 | 69.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ALWAYS BEAUTIFUL M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 20.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | KOKUSHI MUSOU H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 22.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | YOO YOO KNIGHT H1 C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 4 | 87.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CURLING SPEED B1 J McNeil · Y S Tsui | J McNeil | Y S Tsui | 13 | 99.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 80.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SEE U AGAIN B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 5 | 12.0 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | FORTUNE TURBO B H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 6 | 78.0 | 24-3/4 |
| — | 0 | KA YING WARRIOR Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-27 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WE ARE HERO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K L Man, won by 4-1/2, with BABY CRYSTAL second and ONE FOR ALL third. The 1.8 favourite BABY CRYSTAL finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BABY CRYSTAL | 27.2% | 3.68 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SEE U AGAIN | 13.3% | 7.54 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | NOBLE ONE | 12.8% | 7.83 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | WE ARE HERO | 7.9% | 12.69 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 7.3% | 13.71 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 7.1% | 14.07 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | ALWAYS BEAUTIFUL | 5.6% | 17.95 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | MIGHTY VALOR | 5.0% | 20.18 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | ONE FOR ALL | 4.7% | 21.48 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | CURLING SPEED | 4.5% | 22.47 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER EAGLE | 1.9% | 52.99 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR | 1.9% | 53.09 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | FORTUNE TURBO | 1.1% | 89.50 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 55
PLACE
4 12.5
5 17
13 33
QUINELLA
4,5 63
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 32.5
4,13 55
5,13 101.5
FORECAST
5,4 252
TIERCE
5,4,13 1,299
TRIO
4,5,13 207
FIRST 4
4,5,11,13 611
QUARTET
5,4,13,11 12,537
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 28.5