Sha Tin · 2022-11-27 · 17:23
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-27 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SOLAR WINDS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with PULSAR STRIDER second and CAPE BRETON third. The 1.2 favourite SUPERB CAPITALIST finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SOLAR WINDS H/TT 1.09.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | PULSAR STRIDER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | CAPE BRETON A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 9 | 87.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | GOLDEN ARTIE R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 3 | 75.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPERB CAPITALIST TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 1.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | STAR ASCENSION XB L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 4 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | SPEEDY MOUSE M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | YEABOI H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 2 | 184.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | REVE PARISIEN K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 7 | 15.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 81.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | ARIEL M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 103.0 | 11 |
| — | 7 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 58.1% | 1.72 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | SOLAR WINDS | 13.1% | 7.64 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | PULSAR STRIDER | 8.5% | 11.70 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 6.0% | 16.69 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | STAR ASCENSION | 5.8% | 17.34 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | CAPE BRETON | 1.9% | 52.67 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 1.8% | 54.55 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | REVE PARISIEN | 1.8% | 55.64 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | ARIEL | 1.3% | 75.70 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 1.0% | 102.30 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | YEABOI | 0.7% | 148.50 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 160.5
PLACE
1 155
4 23
10 15
QUINELLA
4,10 426
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 699.5
1,10 586.5
4,10 59
A1 —
A2 —
A3 —
FORECAST
4,10 828
TIERCE
4,10,1 36,625
TRIO
1,4,10 6,640
FIRST 4
1,4,9,10 27,431
QUARTET
4,10,1,9 420,051
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
11/4 300.5
11/10 25.5