Sha Tin · 2022-11-27 · 13:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT 1.09.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY FAT CAT PC H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 5 | 3.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL IS GOOD V-/B2 M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 2 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE TT1 J McNeil · C S Shum | J McNeil | C S Shum | 4 | 158.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 7 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SOLAR PARTNER K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HAR HAR AT HEART H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 11.0 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | THUNDERSTRIKE B/H L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 15.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SMART FUTURE B1/TT1 H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 1 | 160.0 | 29 |
| — | 0 | SON PAK FU B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-27 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. YOUTHFUL DEAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with HAPPY FAT CAT second and HELENE WISDOM STAR third. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 21.7% | 4.60 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ALL IS GOOD | 17.1% | 5.85 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | SOLAR PARTNER | 9.9% | 10.06 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 9.3% | 10.72 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 9.2% | 10.93 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 7.0% | 14.28 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | THUNDERSTRIKE | 6.5% | 15.27 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE | 5.2% | 19.32 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | SON PAK FU | 4.3% | 23.37 | — |
| 10 | 0 | HAR HAR AT HEART | 3.8% | 26.40 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | MAGIC SUPREME | 3.6% | 27.57 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | SMART FUTURE | 2.3% | 43.00 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 31
PLACE
1 31
3 14.5
11 14.5
QUINELLA
3,11 57.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 65.5
1,11 60
3,11 27.5
FORECAST
3,11 118
TIERCE
3,11,1 817
TRIO
1,3,11 173
FIRST 4
1,3,9,11 637
QUARTET
3,11,1,9 6,969
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
3/3 95.5
3/11 19
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 15.5