Sha Tin · 2022-11-27 · 17:57
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING TREADMILL Closed strongly SR 1.21.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | KING LAND Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING METHOD Closed strongly TT L Currie · C S Shum | L Currie | C S Shum | 2 | 36.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SNAFFLES Closed strongly B- M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 159.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SHINING GEM B Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 7 | 38.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE Closed strongly TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SIGHT SPIRIT Closed strongly A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 4.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CZARSON Closed strongly CP J McNeil · P F Yiu | J McNeil | P F Yiu | 13 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY B1/TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly H/B1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 6.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 6 | 27.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS B H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 14 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | BUDDIES Led early B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 4 | 22.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | FIND MY LOVE Closed strongly K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | — | 102.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-27 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PACKING TREADMILL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with KING LAND second and WINNING METHOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING TREADMILL | 26.7% | 3.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE | 11.1% | 9.04 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 10.0% | 9.96 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 9.1% | 10.95 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | KING LAND | 8.7% | 11.45 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 7.4% | 13.51 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING METHOD | 5.6% | 17.79 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS | 4.4% | 22.47 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | SHINING GEM | 4.3% | 23.35 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | CZARSON | 4.1% | 24.17 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 3.7% | 26.70 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | FIND MY LOVE | 2.4% | 41.73 | — |
| 13 | 0 | BUDDIES | 1.4% | 69.63 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | SNAFFLES | 0.9% | 117.15 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 23.5
PLACE
2 64.5
9 40
10 13
QUINELLA
9,10 155
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 443
2,10 123
9,10 66
FORECAST
10,9 302
TIERCE
10,9,2 3,752
TRIO
2,9,10 1,030
FIRST 4
2,9,10,14 27,804
QUARTET
10,9,2,14 199,987
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,10/2,9,10 955,122
9TH DOUBLE
4/9 427
4/10 524
SIX UP
6,10/2,9/5,8/8,11/4,10/9,10 14,291
10/9/8/11/4/10 546,941
1 [Z Purton] —
5 [T P Yung] —
TREBLE
11/4/9 969
11/4/10 1,038