沙田 · 2023-02-12 · 17:53
第 10場
2023-02-12沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的BEAUTY ETERNAL勝出，贏出1-3/4。SOLAR WINDS獲得亞軍；KING'S CAPITAL獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以1.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY ETERNAL 一路領先 1.21.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 1.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | SOLAR WINDS 後段發力 H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 40.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | KING'S CAPITAL 後段發力 B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 88.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | ALACRITY 後段發力 CP1/TT1 K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 13 | 63.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 後段發力 TT1 H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 8 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | MASTER HERO XB/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 7 | 26.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | FIND MY LOVE 後段發力 CP1/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 14 | 117.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | COBHFIELD XB/CP1 H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 3 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | MAJESTIC COLOUR V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 9.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | WIN WIN FIGHTER 後段發力 H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 9 | 190.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | DRAGON ADMIRAL H-/SR V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 5 | 115.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | SHINING GEM B Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 11 | 47.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | MARADO B C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 2 | 17.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | CAPE BRETON SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 4 | 44.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 56.3% | 1.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 6.9% | 14.50 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | MARADO | 5.8% | 17.21 | 13 |
| 4 | 7 | SOLAR WINDS | 5.2% | 19.16 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 4.3% | 23.20 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | ALACRITY | 3.8% | 26.31 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | MASTER HERO | 3.3% | 30.68 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | COBHFIELD | 2.9% | 34.90 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | SHINING GEM | 2.6% | 37.82 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | CAPE BRETON | 2.3% | 43.38 | 14 |
| 11 | 12 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 1.8% | 54.75 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | FIND MY LOVE | 1.8% | 54.90 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | KING'S CAPITAL | 1.7% | 59.14 | 3 |
| 14 | 14 | DRAGON ADMIRAL | 1.2% | 83.33 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 13
PLACE
5 10.1
7 52.5
13 110.5
QUINELLA
5,7 154.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 58.5
5,13 141
7,13 991.5
FORECAST
5,7 236
TIERCE
5,7,13 3,995
TRIO
5,7,13 2,059
FIRST 4
2,5,7,13 11,892
QUARTET
5,7,13,2 104,465
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 13
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,7/5,7,13 30,613
9TH DOUBLE
6/5 117.5
6/7 414.5
SIX UP
6/9/12/9/6/5 520,162
6,12/5,9/2,12/9,14/1,6/5,7 7,545
2 [A S Cruz] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
9/6/5 1,337
9/6/7 3,864