沙田 · 2023-02-12 · 16:43
第 8場
2023-02-12沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、W Y So訓練的OWNERS' PRAISE勝出，贏出1。BULB PRINCE獲得亞軍；HORSESAIN BOLT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.5倍大熱門FAST BUCK跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | OWNERS' PRAISE 後段發力 1.22.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 11 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | BULB PRINCE 後段發力 H/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 9 | 27.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | HORSESAIN BOLT 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 8 | 8.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | HERO ICON 後段發力 TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | FAST BUCK 早段領放 B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 2.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | LET'S DO IT 後段發力 CP H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 3 | 6.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | LUCKY GOLD B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 14 | 41.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | HOLY POWER B/XB C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 13 | 9.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | WIDE BLUE YONDER CP/TT Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 7 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | MR VALIANT XB-/H K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 1 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SPARKY STAR B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 39.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | PROSECCO B/H A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 12 | 102.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 12 | CHOICERUS SR L Currie · D J Whyte | L Currie | D J Whyte | 4 | 147.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 11 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 6 | 23.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FAST BUCK | 26.6% | 3.76 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | HOLY POWER | 10.1% | 9.94 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | MR VALIANT | 8.6% | 11.67 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY GOLD | 7.8% | 12.78 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 7.5% | 13.28 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | LET'S DO IT | 7.1% | 14.04 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 6.8% | 14.78 | 1 |
| 8 | 1 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 6.4% | 15.58 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | SPARKY STAR | 5.3% | 18.74 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 4.2% | 23.92 | 14 |
| 11 | 10 | HERO ICON | 4.2% | 23.98 | 4 |
| 12 | 13 | PROSECCO | 2.8% | 36.24 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | CHOICERUS | 1.7% | 59.66 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | BULB PRINCE | 1.0% | 100.07 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 102
PLACE
1 27
9 34.5
14 66
QUINELLA
9,14 2,496
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 152.5
1,14 534.5
9,14 634
FORECAST
9,14 4,014
TIERCE
9,14,1 54,227
TRIO
1,9,14 7,136
FIRST 4
1,9,10,14 18,689
QUARTET
9,14,1,10 417,386
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 25
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,12/1,9,14 1,672,851
7TH DOUBLE
12/9 1,881
12/14 505