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Sha Tin · 2023-02-12 · 16:43

Race 8

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.39
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly 1.22.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W Y So 11 10.0 1
2 0 BULB PRINCE Closed strongly H/TT V Borges · C H Yip 9 27.0 1
3 0 HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum 8 8.8 1-1/2
4 0 HERO ICON Closed strongly TT M F Poon · K L Man 2 20.0 2-1/4
5 0 FAST BUCK Led early B Z Purton · J Size 5 2.5 2-3/4
6 0 LET'S DO IT Closed strongly CP H Bentley · D J Hall 3 6.8 3
7 0 LUCKY GOLD B M Chadwick · K W Lui 14 41.0 3
8 0 HOLY POWER B/XB C Y Ho · J Richards 13 9.3 3-1/2
9 0 WIDE BLUE YONDER CP/TT Y L Chung · D A Hayes 7 12.0 3-3/4
10 0 MR VALIANT XB-/H K Teetan · A T Millard 1 14.0 4-3/4
11 0 SPARKY STAR B C L Chau · T P Yung 10 39.0 5-3/4
12 0 PROSECCO B/H A Hamelin · R Gibson 12 102.0 7
13 0 CHOICERUS SR L Currie · D J Whyte 4 147.0 9
14 0 SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 6 23.0 11-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. OWNERS' PRAISE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W Y So, won by 1, with BULB PRINCE second and HORSESAIN BOLT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite FAST BUCK finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. OWNERS' PRAISE—2. BULB PRINCE+1L3. HORSESAIN BOLT+1.5L4. HERO ICON+2.25L5. FAST BUCK+2.75L6. LET'S DO IT+3L7. LUCKY GOLD+3L8. HOLY POWER+3.5L9. WIDE BLUE YONDER+3.75L10. MR VALIANT+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick FAST BUCK (26.6%) finished 5th — the winner OWNERS' PRAISE was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FAST BUCK 26.6% 3.76 5
2 0 HOLY POWER 10.1% 9.94 8
3 0 MR VALIANT 8.6% 11.67 10
4 0 LUCKY GOLD 7.8% 12.78 7
5 0 WIDE BLUE YONDER 7.5% 13.28 9
6 0 LET'S DO IT 7.1% 14.04 6
7 0 OWNERS' PRAISE 6.8% 14.78 1
8 0 HORSESAIN BOLT 6.4% 15.58 3
9 0 SPARKY STAR 5.3% 18.74 11
10 0 SINGAPORE SPIRIT 4.2% 23.92 14
11 0 HERO ICON 4.2% 23.98 4
12 0 PROSECCO 2.8% 36.24 12
13 0 CHOICERUS 1.7% 59.66 13
14 0 BULB PRINCE 1.0% 100.07 2
FAST BUCKHOLY POWERMR VALIANTLUCKY GOLDWIDE BLUE YONDERLET'S DO ITOWNERS' PRAISE — wonHORSESAIN BOLTSPARKY STARSINGAPORE SPIRITHERO ICONPROSECCOCHOICERUSBULB PRINCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 102

PLACE

1 27

9 34.5

14 66

QUINELLA

9,14 2,496

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 152.5

1,14 534.5

9,14 634

FORECAST

9,14 4,014

TIERCE

9,14,1 54,227

TRIO

1,9,14 7,136

FIRST 4

1,9,10,14 18,689

QUARTET

9,14,1,10 417,386

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 25

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,7,12/1,9,14 1,672,851

7TH DOUBLE

12/9 1,881

12/14 505