Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-02-12 · 16:43

Race 8

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. OWNERS' PRAISE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W Y So, won by 1, with BULB PRINCE second and HORSESAIN BOLT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite FAST BUCK finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.22.39
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly 1.22.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W Y So 11 10.0 1
2 14 BULB PRINCE Closed strongly H/TT V Borges · C H Yip 9 27.0 1
3 1 HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum 8 8.8 1-1/2
4 10 HERO ICON Closed strongly TT M F Poon · K L Man 2 20.0 2-1/4
5 2 FAST BUCK Led early B Z Purton · J Size 5 2.5 2-3/4
6 3 LET'S DO IT Closed strongly CP H Bentley · D J Hall 3 6.8 3
7 7 LUCKY GOLD B M Chadwick · K W Lui 14 41.0 3
8 6 HOLY POWER B/XB C Y Ho · J Richards 13 9.3 3-1/2
9 5 WIDE BLUE YONDER CP/TT Y L Chung · D A Hayes 7 12.0 3-3/4
10 4 MR VALIANT XB-/H K Teetan · A T Millard 1 14.0 4-3/4
11 8 SPARKY STAR B C L Chau · T P Yung 10 39.0 5-3/4
12 13 PROSECCO B/H A Hamelin · R Gibson 12 102.0 7
13 12 CHOICERUS SR L Currie · D J Whyte 4 147.0 9
14 11 SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 6 23.0 11-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. OWNERS' PRAISE2. BULB PRINCE+1L3. HORSESAIN BOLT+1.5L4. HERO ICON+2.25L5. FAST BUCK+2.75L6. LET'S DO IT+3L7. LUCKY GOLD+3L8. HOLY POWER+3.5L9. WIDE BLUE YONDER+3.75L10. MR VALIANT+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick FAST BUCK (26.6%) finished 5th — the winner OWNERS' PRAISE was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 FAST BUCK 26.6% 3.76 5
2 6 HOLY POWER 10.1% 9.94 8
3 4 MR VALIANT 8.6% 11.67 10
4 7 LUCKY GOLD 7.8% 12.78 7
5 5 WIDE BLUE YONDER 7.5% 13.28 9
6 3 LET'S DO IT 7.1% 14.04 6
7 9 OWNERS' PRAISE 6.8% 14.78 1
8 1 HORSESAIN BOLT 6.4% 15.58 3
9 8 SPARKY STAR 5.3% 18.74 11
10 11 SINGAPORE SPIRIT 4.2% 23.92 14
11 10 HERO ICON 4.2% 23.98 4
12 13 PROSECCO 2.8% 36.24 12
13 12 CHOICERUS 1.7% 59.66 13
14 14 BULB PRINCE 1.0% 100.07 2
FAST BUCKHOLY POWERMR VALIANTLUCKY GOLDWIDE BLUE YONDERLET'S DO ITOWNERS' PRAISE — wonHORSESAIN BOLTSPARKY STARSINGAPORE SPIRITHERO ICONPROSECCOCHOICERUSBULB PRINCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 102

PLACE

1 27

9 34.5

14 66

QUINELLA

9,14 2,496

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 152.5

1,14 534.5

9,14 634

FORECAST

9,14 4,014

TIERCE

9,14,1 54,227

TRIO

1,9,14 7,136

FIRST 4

1,9,10,14 18,689

QUARTET

9,14,1,10 417,386

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A2

A1

A3 25

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,7,12/1,9,14 1,672,851

7TH DOUBLE

12/9 1,881

12/14 505