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Sha Tin · 2023-02-12 · 13:31

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.86
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 STAR OF GLORY Closed strongly B 1.35.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C W Chang 10 11.0 N
2 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V K Teetan · C H Yip 2 16.0 N
3 0 QUORUM Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson 1 7.2 1/2
4 0 SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT C L Chau · Y S Tsui 12 35.0 2
5 0 MOONLUCK H Bentley · T P Yung 11 16.0 2-1/4
6 0 VUKAN Led early B/XB/TT K C Leung · J Richards 6 9.4 2-1/2
7 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG TT H Bowman · K L Man 5 2.9 3-1/2
8 0 FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D J Hall 8 5.7 3-3/4
9 0 SHINY TWO B/XB L Ferraris · P F Yiu 4 37.0 4
10 0 JOY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · W Y So 14 18.0 4-3/4
11 0 SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly M L Yeung · L Ho 13 78.0 5-1/2
12 0 DAILY BEAUTY V C Y Ho · C Fownes 9 12.0 6-3/4
13 0 ANGELS HUNTER B V Borges · K L Man 3 33.0 9
14 0 BALLISTIC MAN B/TT M F Poon · K H Ting 7 61.0 11

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-12 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. STAR OF GLORY, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with MURRAY'S PARTNERS second and QUORUM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite STAR OF YUEN LONG finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STAR OF GLORY—2. MURRAY'S PARTNERS+0.05L3. QUORUM+0.5L4. SUPERB DADDY+2L5. MOONLUCK+2.25L6. VUKAN+2.5L7. STAR OF YUEN LONG+3.5L8. FLYING MIGHTY+3.75L9. SHINY TWO+4L10. JOY MASTER+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick STAR OF YUEN LONG (14.5%) finished 7th — the winner STAR OF GLORY was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG 14.5% 6.92 7
2 0 DAILY BEAUTY 13.2% 7.59 12
3 0 QUORUM 10.8% 9.25 3
4 0 FLYING MIGHTY 10.6% 9.47 8
5 0 MOONLUCK 7.3% 13.78 5
6 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS 6.8% 14.79 2
7 0 SUPERB DADDY 5.9% 16.85 4
8 0 STAR OF GLORY 5.3% 18.79 1
9 0 BALLISTIC MAN 5.3% 18.97 14
10 0 JOY MASTER 5.0% 20.04 10
11 0 ANGELS HUNTER 4.6% 21.54 13
12 0 SHINY TWO 3.7% 26.89 9
13 0 VUKAN 3.7% 26.91 6
14 0 SPLENDID STAR 3.4% 29.49 11
STAR OF YUEN LONGDAILY BEAUTYQUORUMFLYING MIGHTYMOONLUCKMURRAY'S PARTNERSSUPERB DADDYSTAR OF GLORY — wonBALLISTIC MANJOY MASTERANGELS HUNTERSHINY TWOVUKANSPLENDID STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 112

PLACE

7 45.5

8 28

10 25

QUINELLA

7,8 1,096.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 286.5

7,10 175.5

8,10 120.5

FORECAST

8,7 2,118

TIERCE

8,7,10 13,156

TRIO

7,8,10 2,176

FIRST 4

3,7,8,10 13,328

QUARTET

8,7,10,3 272,947

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/7 161.5

7/8 605.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

5,7,8/7,8,10 116,465

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 23.5