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Sha Tin · 2023-02-12 · 13:31

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-12 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. STAR OF GLORY, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with MURRAY'S PARTNERS second and QUORUM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite STAR OF YUEN LONG finished 7th.

Result

Official · 1.35.86
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 STAR OF GLORY Closed strongly B 1.35.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C W Chang 10 11.0 N
2 7 MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V K Teetan · C H Yip 2 16.0 N
3 10 QUORUM Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson 1 7.2 1/2
4 3 SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT C L Chau · Y S Tsui 12 35.0 2
5 14 MOONLUCK H Bentley · T P Yung 11 16.0 2-1/4
6 6 VUKAN Led early B/XB/TT K C Leung · J Richards 6 9.4 2-1/2
7 1 STAR OF YUEN LONG TT H Bowman · K L Man 5 2.9 3-1/2
8 2 FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D J Hall 8 5.7 3-3/4
9 11 SHINY TWO B/XB L Ferraris · P F Yiu 4 37.0 4
10 13 JOY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · W Y So 14 18.0 4-3/4
11 12 SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly M L Yeung · L Ho 13 78.0 5-1/2
12 5 DAILY BEAUTY V C Y Ho · C Fownes 9 12.0 6-3/4
13 9 ANGELS HUNTER B V Borges · K L Man 3 33.0 9
14 4 BALLISTIC MAN B/TT M F Poon · K H Ting 7 61.0 11

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STAR OF GLORY2. MURRAY'S PARTNERS+0.05L3. QUORUM+0.5L4. SUPERB DADDY+2L5. MOONLUCK+2.25L6. VUKAN+2.5L7. STAR OF YUEN LONG+3.5L8. FLYING MIGHTY+3.75L9. SHINY TWO+4L10. JOY MASTER+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick STAR OF YUEN LONG (14.5%) finished 7th — the winner STAR OF GLORY was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 STAR OF YUEN LONG 14.5% 6.92 7
2 5 DAILY BEAUTY 13.2% 7.59 12
3 10 QUORUM 10.8% 9.25 3
4 2 FLYING MIGHTY 10.6% 9.47 8
5 14 MOONLUCK 7.3% 13.78 5
6 7 MURRAY'S PARTNERS 6.8% 14.79 2
7 3 SUPERB DADDY 5.9% 16.85 4
8 8 STAR OF GLORY 5.3% 18.79 1
9 4 BALLISTIC MAN 5.3% 18.97 14
10 13 JOY MASTER 5.0% 20.04 10
11 9 ANGELS HUNTER 4.6% 21.54 13
12 11 SHINY TWO 3.7% 26.89 9
13 6 VUKAN 3.7% 26.91 6
14 12 SPLENDID STAR 3.4% 29.49 11
STAR OF YUEN LONGDAILY BEAUTYQUORUMFLYING MIGHTYMOONLUCKMURRAY'S PARTNERSSUPERB DADDYSTAR OF GLORY — wonBALLISTIC MANJOY MASTERANGELS HUNTERSHINY TWOVUKANSPLENDID STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 112

PLACE

7 45.5

8 28

10 25

QUINELLA

7,8 1,096.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 286.5

7,10 175.5

8,10 120.5

FORECAST

8,7 2,118

TIERCE

8,7,10 13,156

TRIO

7,8,10 2,176

FIRST 4

3,7,8,10 13,328

QUARTET

8,7,10,3 272,947

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/7 161.5

7/8 605.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

5,7,8/7,8,10 116,465

3 PICK 1

A3 23.5

A2

A1