Sha Tin · 2023-02-12 · 13:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-12 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ACA POWER, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with TAKINGUFURTHER second and STRIVE FOR GLORY third. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ACA POWER CP 1.10.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 11 | 4.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | TAKINGUFURTHER V L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 5.3 | N |
| 3 | 5 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | COMPULSORY B/TT Y L Chung · A T Millard | Y L Chung | A T Millard | 3 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | TOUCH FAITH P- L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 12 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | YOUNG HORIZON H/P C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 8 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | FELIX THE KING B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 9 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | FANTASY SPRING H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 6 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | ALLOY STAR B K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 4 | 5.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | LE PLUS VITE XB/PC1/TT- C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 7 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | STEEL WIN V-/B2/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 54.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 2 | TO INFINITY B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 2 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ACA POWER | 15.9% | 6.30 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 12.1% | 8.25 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | COMPULSORY | 10.2% | 9.78 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | TO INFINITY | 10.1% | 9.92 | 12 |
| 5 | 12 | ALLOY STAR | 8.7% | 11.56 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | LE PLUS VITE | 8.6% | 11.59 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | YOUNG HORIZON | 8.0% | 12.53 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | TOUCH FAITH | 6.7% | 14.85 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | FELIX THE KING | 6.4% | 15.57 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 6.3% | 15.77 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | STEEL WIN | 4.1% | 24.59 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | FANTASY SPRING | 2.9% | 34.76 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 40.5
PLACE
5 26.5
7 18
8 18
QUINELLA
7,8 125.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 71
5,8 87
7,8 51.5
FORECAST
7,8 216
TIERCE
7,8,5 1,678
TRIO
5,7,8 391
FIRST 4
4,5,7,8 1,260
QUARTET
7,8,5,4 16,852
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 23
A3 —