Sha Tin · 2023-02-12 · 16:11
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-12 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. FLYING DRAGON, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C H Yip, won by N, with FIERY DIAMOND second and ELON third. The 3.7 favourite LIGHTNING BOLT finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FLYING DRAGON B1 1.09.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 10 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | FIERY DIAMOND C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 6.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | ELON E/P Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | STUNNING IMPACT B C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 7 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | CZARSON CP K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 6 | 5.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 3.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | MAN STAR V L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 3 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 4 | 87.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | LIKE THAT V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | ROMAN TURBO B/XB K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 11 | 38.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | MAXIMUS A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 2 | 21.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 10 | CALIFORNIA VANES Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | STUNNING IMPACT | 20.1% | 4.98 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | ELON | 17.8% | 5.62 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | FIERY DIAMOND | 13.2% | 7.60 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 12.7% | 7.86 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | CZARSON | 11.3% | 8.86 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | ROMAN TURBO | 5.8% | 17.31 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | FLYING DRAGON | 5.1% | 19.45 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 4.9% | 20.21 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | LIKE THAT | 4.1% | 24.11 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | MAXIMUS | 2.6% | 39.06 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | MAN STAR | 2.4% | 42.26 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 142
PLACE
2 20.5
7 21
12 45.5
QUINELLA
2,12 481.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 62
2,12 141.5
7,12 140.5
FORECAST
12,2 1,127
TIERCE
12,2,7 8,469
TRIO
2,7,12 731
FIRST 4
2,6,7,12 1,912
QUARTET
12,2,7,6 69,122
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 26.5
A2 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
9/2 31.5
9/12 992.5