Sha Tin · 2023-02-12 · 15:39
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RUN RUN BUDDY Wire to wire CP 1.22.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 7 | 4.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 2 | 76.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET Closed strongly H/PC/XB C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 3 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY B H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 5 | 7.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN Closed strongly H A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 9 | 43.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | CHARMANDER XB-/B/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 14 | 74.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | E RAINBOW TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 12 | 100.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 18.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | FORERUNNER CP1 H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | — | 5.0 | 5-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. RUN RUN BUDDY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with SMILING COLLECTOR second and SPEEDSTAR third. The winner led throughout. The 4.4 favourite SMILING COLLECTOR finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORERUNNER | 24.6% | 4.07 | — |
| 2 | 0 | RUN RUN BUDDY | 17.2% | 5.83 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 7.2% | 13.79 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO | 7.1% | 13.99 | 14 |
| 5 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY | 6.6% | 15.19 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | E RAINBOW | 6.2% | 16.04 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 6.1% | 16.36 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 5.4% | 18.56 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY | 4.6% | 21.63 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 4.4% | 22.93 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN | 3.6% | 27.45 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR | 3.3% | 30.07 | 3 |
| 13 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 2.3% | 43.70 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | CHARMANDER | 1.3% | 76.13 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 47.5
PLACE
5 19
9 16.5
13 169.5
QUINELLA
5,9 103
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 40.5
5,13 457.5
9,13 468
FORECAST
9,5 215
TIERCE
9,5,13 11,144
TRIO
5,9,13 1,155
FIRST 4
5,6,9,13 12,011
QUARTET
9,5,13,6 166,510
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 23
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,12/5,9,13 624,621
5TH DOUBLE
6/5 32
6/9 187
TRIPLE TRIO
4,7,11/1,6,12/5,9,13 2,027,309
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,7,11/1,6,12/Any Combination 19,234