Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-02-12 · 17:18

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1800m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.48.47
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly H-/TT 1.48.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · L Ho 7 7.2 SH
2 0 CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 2.5 SH
3 0 COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 10 6.0 N
4 0 ROUND THE EARTH Closed strongly B M Chadwick · D J Hall 9 47.0 N
5 0 PEGASUS GENERAL V M F Poon · K H Ting 3 21.0 1/2
6 0 PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly P-/H L Ferraris · P F Yiu 12 34.0 1
7 0 INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B/BR R Maia · A T Millard 4 20.0 1-1/4
8 0 INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT V Borges · W Y So 13 44.0 1-1/2
10 0 QUANTUM PATCH Z Purton · P C Ng 11 5.7 2
11 0 SWAN BAY Closed strongly B C L Chau · D A Hayes 2 101.0 2-3/4
12 0 HIT THE SHOT TT A Hamelin · J Size 6 15.0 4-3/4
13 0 YOUNG BRILLIANT L Currie · C H Yip 14 156.0 5-1/2
— 0 PERFECT TEAM TT H Bentley · C Fownes — 18.0 2
— 0 CAN'T GO WONG Led early CP/TT1 K Teetan · F C Lor — 31.0 10-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-12 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. WOODFIRE BRO, ridden by K C Leung and trained by L Ho, won by SH, with CHAMPION DRAGON second and COPARTNER ELITES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite CHAMPION DRAGON finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WOODFIRE BRO—2. CHAMPION DRAGON+0.1L3. COPARTNER ELITES+0.05L4. ROUND THE EARTH+0.05L5. PEGASUS GENERAL+0.5L6. PRECISE EXPRESS+1L7. INTREPID WINNER+1.25L8. INCANTO PREPARED+1.5L10. QUANTUM PATCH+2L11. SWAN BAY+2.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick CHAMPION DRAGON (25.1%) finished 2nd — the winner WOODFIRE BRO was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CHAMPION DRAGON 25.1% 3.98 2
2 0 QUANTUM PATCH 16.1% 6.19 10
3 0 COPARTNER ELITES 12.1% 8.29 3
4 0 WOODFIRE BRO 9.5% 10.48 1
5 0 HIT THE SHOT 8.2% 12.23 12
6 0 PEGASUS GENERAL 7.9% 12.68 5
7 0 INTREPID WINNER 5.9% 16.93 7
8 0 ROUND THE EARTH 3.8% 26.55 4
9 0 INCANTO PREPARED 2.5% 39.53 8
10 0 PERFECT TEAM 2.2% 45.85 —
11 0 CAN'T GO WONG 2.2% 46.48 —
12 0 PRECISE EXPRESS 2.0% 51.17 6
13 0 SWAN BAY 1.7% 58.55 11
14 0 YOUNG BRILLIANT 0.9% 114.93 13
CHAMPION DRAGONQUANTUM PATCHCOPARTNER ELITESWOODFIRE BRO — wonHIT THE SHOTPEGASUS GENERALINTREPID WINNERROUND THE EARTHINCANTO PREPAREDPERFECT TEAMCAN'T GO WONGPRECISE EXPRESSSWAN BAYYOUNG BRILLIANT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 72

PLACE

1 12

6 21.5

7 21.5

QUINELLA

1,6 84.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 36.5

1,7 34

6,7 67

FORECAST

6,1 219

TIERCE

6,1,7 902

TRIO

1,6,7 162

FIRST 4

1,6,7,12 1,303

QUARTET

6,1,7,12 20,206

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 19

A3 —

8TH DOUBLE

9/1 93.5

9/6 872