Sha Tin · 2023-02-12 · 17:18
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-12 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. WOODFIRE BRO, ridden by K C Leung and trained by L Ho, won by SH, with CHAMPION DRAGON second and COPARTNER ELITES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite CHAMPION DRAGON finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly H-/TT 1.48.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 7.2 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.5 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 10 | 6.0 | N |
| 4 | 12 | ROUND THE EARTH Closed strongly B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 9 | 47.0 | N |
| 5 | 14 | PEGASUS GENERAL V M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 3 | 21.0 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly P-/H L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 12 | 34.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 4 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 13 | 44.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | PERFECT TEAM TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 8 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | QUANTUM PATCH Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 11 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 11 | 8 | SWAN BAY Closed strongly B C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 2 | 101.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | HIT THE SHOT TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | YOUNG BRILLIANT L Currie · C H Yip | L Currie | C H Yip | 14 | 156.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG Led early CP/TT1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 31.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 25.1% | 3.98 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | QUANTUM PATCH | 16.1% | 6.19 | 10 |
| 3 | 7 | COPARTNER ELITES | 12.1% | 8.29 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | WOODFIRE BRO | 9.5% | 10.48 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | HIT THE SHOT | 8.2% | 12.23 | 12 |
| 6 | 14 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 7.9% | 12.68 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER | 5.9% | 16.93 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | ROUND THE EARTH | 3.8% | 26.55 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | INCANTO PREPARED | 2.5% | 39.53 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | PERFECT TEAM | 2.2% | 45.85 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG | 2.2% | 46.48 | 14 |
| 12 | 4 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 2.0% | 51.17 | 6 |
| 13 | 8 | SWAN BAY | 1.7% | 58.55 | 11 |
| 14 | 11 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 0.9% | 114.93 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 72
PLACE
1 12
6 21.5
7 21.5
QUINELLA
1,6 84.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 36.5
1,7 34
6,7 67
FORECAST
6,1 219
TIERCE
6,1,7 902
TRIO
1,6,7 162
FIRST 4
1,6,7,12 1,303
QUARTET
6,1,7,12 20,206
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19
8TH DOUBLE
9/1 93.5
9/6 872