沙田 · 2023-02-12 · 17:18
第 9場
2023-02-12沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、L Ho訓練的WOODFIRE BRO勝出，贏出SH。CHAMPION DRAGON獲得亞軍；COPARTNER ELITES獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.5倍大熱門CHAMPION DRAGON跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WOODFIRE BRO 後段發力 H-/TT 1.48.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 7.2 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.5 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | COPARTNER ELITES 後段發力 CP-/B1/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 10 | 6.0 | N |
| 4 | 12 | ROUND THE EARTH 後段發力 B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 9 | 47.0 | N |
| 5 | 14 | PEGASUS GENERAL V M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 3 | 21.0 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | PRECISE EXPRESS 後段發力 P-/H L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 12 | 34.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER 後段發力 B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 4 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | INCANTO PREPARED 後段發力 E/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 13 | 44.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | PERFECT TEAM TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 8 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | QUANTUM PATCH Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 11 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 11 | 8 | SWAN BAY 後段發力 B C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 2 | 101.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | HIT THE SHOT TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | YOUNG BRILLIANT L Currie · C H Yip | L Currie | C H Yip | 14 | 156.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG 早段領放 CP/TT1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 31.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 25.1% | 3.98 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | QUANTUM PATCH | 16.1% | 6.19 | 10 |
| 3 | 7 | COPARTNER ELITES | 12.1% | 8.29 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | WOODFIRE BRO | 9.5% | 10.48 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | HIT THE SHOT | 8.2% | 12.23 | 12 |
| 6 | 14 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 7.9% | 12.68 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER | 5.9% | 16.93 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | ROUND THE EARTH | 3.8% | 26.55 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | INCANTO PREPARED | 2.5% | 39.53 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | PERFECT TEAM | 2.2% | 45.85 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG | 2.2% | 46.48 | 14 |
| 12 | 4 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 2.0% | 51.17 | 6 |
| 13 | 8 | SWAN BAY | 1.7% | 58.55 | 11 |
| 14 | 11 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 0.9% | 114.93 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 72
PLACE
1 12
6 21.5
7 21.5
QUINELLA
1,6 84.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 36.5
1,7 34
6,7 67
FORECAST
6,1 219
TIERCE
6,1,7 902
TRIO
1,6,7 162
FIRST 4
1,6,7,12 1,303
QUARTET
6,1,7,12 20,206
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19
8TH DOUBLE
9/1 93.5
9/6 872